Drawing NM 2nd or 3rd choice

[CMF]

Are you saying that the system is rigged to award first time applicants a hunt but then they will never draw again? If so I beat the system by not drawing a thing my first time applying.

I don't think he saying you'll never draw again, but there seems to be some evidence that there is a slight advantage for first-time applicants. I and my son drew <4% tags the first year we applied(2019&21). Although I apply 2 other kids, wife and fil, that didn't draw their first time, it's still 2 out of 6 for tags with odds of 1 in >25... I've since drawn a deer tag so I definitely can't agree with never drawing again.

 

[tkhuntsman]

How often do people draw their 2nd or 3rd choice vs 1st choice in NM?

Everyone that I know that has ever drawn a tag there got their first choice. Of course that could be just due to the tags we've applied for

Never heard of it.

 

[Short Track]

So there is some consensus that NM sucks you in. Now they hold $7,000 of mine until the draw. They must hedge the money somehow. Earning big short term returns. The big financial guys know how.
We certainly don't earn interest.

 

[Jethro]

No consensus from me on the rookie applicant drawing theory. I think that's internet nonsense. I drew a great tag 3rd time applying and 5th time applying.

 

[ganngus]

Drew my 2nd choice for archery antelope last year.

 

[Jlop_2]

Last year drew my 2nd choice deer.

 

[Cspraggins]

lets just hope I draw my second or third chose bighorn hunts! I will take anything related to sheep!

 

[mighteywhitehunter]

I drew NM in 2019 and 2020 deer 3rd choice, so it happens.... This year I should be drawing 2C Rifle deer first choice and 16D Archery elk first choice!

 

[timekiller13]

Are you saying that the system is rigged to award first time applicants a hunt but then they will never draw again? If so I beat the system by not drawing a thing my first time applying.

Me too.

And I still give them my money every year. For 14 straight years. They still haven’t given me a tag.

 

[madtinker]

I had 3rd choice deer last year and first choice for elk. This year I put a really tough hunt as first choice so I’ll get 2nd or 3rd choice if I get anything. The rule changes messed up my system for estimating my draw odds.

 

[sneaky]

I never realized so many of you were applying in Northern Mexico. Neat.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[HuntNM]

So there is some consensus that NM sucks you in. Now they hold $7,000 of mine until the draw. They must hedge the money somehow. Earning big short term returns. The big financial guys know how.
We certainly don't earn interest.

Good, and I hope it always stays that way, along with raising non-resident fees. Up-front fees allow for more committed hunters to be on the pool, and weed out a large chunk of no-show draw winners.

 

[HuntNM]

I drew a 2nd choice elk hunt last year, and I was a first time elk-hunting applicant the year prior, and did not draw. FWIW.

 

[arob]

Congratulations. We drew muzz in VV oct 7-11 so I know how excited you must be. Hopefully someone one here has been there recently and point us in the right direction.

 

[type2bowhunter]

I drew my 3rd elk choice this year.

 

[RuggedYogi]

Drew second choice deer and elk tags this year. Second choice deer last year. I have yet to draw a first choice.

 

[RuggedYogi]

Congratulations. We drew muzz in VV oct 7-11 so I know how excited you must be. Hopefully someone one here has been there recently and point us in the right direction.

No shortage of elk there!

 

[Whip]

I've drawn four NM archery elk tags and they have all been 3rd Choice. I swing for the fences on the first two choices.

 

[Speck1]

I drew my second choice this year. 1.8% odds. Pretty happy right now.

 

[WoodDuck]

Drew 3rd choice archery elk this year, 1st year applying. First two choices were primo units, 3rd was better odds.