There are two things in play regarding the nr Elk drawing; a limit of 7,250 full price licenses, and a "nr quota" of 16% of the available full price and reduce price LQ licenses. If NR don't apply for and draw the 16% quota, they go back and issue addl special gen licenses to make up the 7,250. Because NR don't apply for all available licenses (cow tags, wilderness hunt areas, etc) the dept always fills up to the 7,250 "hard limit". The total number of licenses that make up that 16% can vary a bit, year to year, as the total number of licenses change but resident and non resident share in that fluctuation. The dept may issue 38,000 licenses one year and 39,000 the next as an example.
NR will always get 7,250 until the Legislature changes that number. We then get addl licenses thru the leftover draw as the "hard limit" does not apply for leftovers.
So, the only way nr will get fewer licenses is if the dept issues fewer total licenses, or nr suck at drawing leftovers. I think Buzz has the numbers but I seem to recall NR are getting somewhere between 17-18 percent when it all shakes out.
Regulation chapter 44, pages 14+ go over nr elk licenses.