Doc Holliday
WKR
- Joined
- Jun 15, 2016
- Messages
- 3,051
I think it’s really funny how all the economist and so-called professionals in the stock market have been all over the map with their predictions over the last couple months. I almost feel like, coming from someone that’s a self-professed idiot when it comes to the stock market, I could predict just about anything and be no more right or wrong than anybody else’s predictions. We’re headed towards a recession, we’re headed towards depression, it’s going to be a V-shaped recovery, it’s going to be a W-shaped recovery, It’s going to take years and years to recover from this, yada yada yada, and this has all been said in the last month. I guess, in the end, someone will probably be right, and most will probably be wrong, we’ll just have to see.
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You are are exactly right, nobody knows, and nobody ever will. The Analysts at Goldman Sachs et al are able to put more facts, statistics, and trends behind their (very well educated) guesses than we can, but at the end of the day that is all it is, a guess.
I am 100% cash in my brokerage account, and 20% cash in my IRA. I was on day 5 of being very sick with CV19 during the March 23rd nosedive, and the last thing on my mind was money.....but if we get another drop like that I am going to deploy my cash.....in the meantime I am making small adjustments, but trying to align to the consumer goods (AMZN/BABA) and technology sectors, which so far have been the most insulated. Thinking about how society will be different moving forward, those sectors are probably good short and long term plays, while just about everything else that has been beaten down is a good long term play while we work our way back to 30K on the DOW. This is not investment advice....just my humble (and likely wrong) opinion.