Buckle up it's another long one from me. I admire everyone who is gifted with the ability to convey ideas with brevity. I sadly do not have that gift.
The number of mule deer hunters by year in Idaho was not separated from the total number of deer hunters (whitetail + mule deer) until 2005. Here are some TOTAL deer hunter numbers through the last 50 years. The average is 135,000 and the highest number I have found was in 2007. Here's a random sample:
1977 - 146,300
1983 - 139,000
1991 - 146,500
2003 - 143,300
2007 - 148,900
2014 - 143834
2022 - 126,802
Starting in 2005 IDFG has provided separated numbers for MULE deer hunters only.
2005 - 94,800
2010 - 89,590
2015 - 114,926
2020 - 88,603
2022 - 79,516
Mule deer only harvest is easy to find as far back as 1988. For reference and to calibrate your brain 1986-1989 saw an explosion in deer harvest never seen before or since. Statewide deer harvest averages ~53,000 if you look from 1953 to the present and take out the outliers 1986-1989. I chose 1953 because that was the first year deer harvest exceeded 45,000 (including previous years would skew the average lower). In 1989 the harvest was 95,200 deer (whitetail and mule deer). That same year, mule deer harvest was 72,320 of which 28,670 were does. So 43,650 bucks. The recent high in 2016, buck harvest was 29,331. Aside from the period between 1986-1990 there has never been another time when mule buck harvest was over 26,000.
Here are some Mule deer buck harvest stats:
Buck harvest average 1990-2022 = ~21,000
2022 - 19,596
2020 - 19,425
2015 - 29,235
2010 - 18,534
2005 - 24,128
2000 - 20,100
1995 - 16,478
1990 - 33,197
When I look at these numbers, I simply don’t see a case for eliminating OTC hunting or changing the season structure to zones. The average days hunted is very similar between now and any point in the last 50 years also. Hunters aren’t spending more time in the field. So that doesn’t explain the feeling of increased pressure.
So I sincerely ask the question; If mule deer hunter numbers are down, and harvest numbers are in line with long term averages (despite recent hard winters), why do hunters feel crowded?
Is it changes in season structures that overlap elk and deer seasons? Or was this always the case?
Does the high cost of NR tags cause them to only purchase a deer tag or an elk and not both. So instead of 1 NR hunter holding a deer and an elk tag we have 1 NR hunter holding a deer tag and another NR hunter holding an elk tag effectively doubling the number of NR hunters? (I realize this is only possible to an extent and I don't have any statistics that would show if this is true or not.)
Have hunters concentrated in specific units? Is this due to habitat/population declines in other areas? Loss of access? I wonder if private land was easier to access in decades past than it is now.
Are we more mobile as hunters than in times past? Do we see more hunters because we use ATVs more and hence cover more ground increasing opportunity to see others?