Keystone XL was to
import Canadian crude. The US was a
net exporter of petroleum products, but only because we were importing loads and then exporting refined products. We were still importing 19% of our crude from the Middle East. OF course if you look at 2019 there was also a sudden drop in US domestic production in March of 2020. Graph below doesn't support the "Biden killed domestic production" narrative.
Migrants and illegal immigrants aren't the same thing. We've had migrant workers on these continents since before anyone here was born, and that migrant labor is part of the reason why our food is so much cheaper (even tax-adjusted) than our peers across Europe. That said, I'm kind of surprised that people are against the idea of trying to help stabilize South and Central America financially to encourage fewer people to try to come to the US for work. But everything from the administration is clear that they're not talking about giving cash to individuals, the plan is about trying to stabilize governments. Basically the same thing the government did for the states here that all the Republicans first opposed and are now taking credit for.
Now for Afghanistan, saying "they could just mvoe the deadline" is dead wrong. You'll recall it wasn't a one-party agreement, there was the Afghan government and more importantly the Taliban that had agreed to put a stay on violence until the withdrawal agreement. They also made it very clear they weren't going to settle for moving the deadline again. As far as what to do differently, I'd love to hear it. I've heard how we should have tried to hold Bagram and use it to evacuate everyone, which would mean a 60km+, 1.5 (really 2) hour drive or a series of flights while splitting your security forces between both locations. I've heard how we should have sent even more people in, which sounds kind of like the opposite of withdrawing troops, but hey I'm sure we would have really whipped the Taliban this time with just one more surge! Leaving 2500 people behind also isn't a withdrawal.
This one hits me personally because I was there, infantry Marine, two deployments to Helmand province and buried some friends after the fact. I'm tired of people telling me we needed to try to hang on to the place or settle it or how we just needed to kill more civilians or use more drones. Two problems. First, the tactics used in war tend to get brought home and used by the police and other LEO/counterterrorism agencies, which should scare everyone and make us fairly pacifist. Secondly, there was solidly 18 years of failure built there. We didn't teach the Afghan army how to do logistics, we sold contracts to PMCs who pulled out as soon as it got too hairy, which meant the Afghan Army had none of the 5 B's. We didn't helpset up an effective nationala rmy; first there's not a national spirit but secondly the corruption in the army made the army ineffective. Read up on the ghost soldiers, stolen payrolls, the defectors. Taliban offered a better deal to anyone who was worth it. None of that was going to get solved with six more weeks or six more months or six more years of pointless spending, killing, and dying. I hope it stings too. I hope everyone who lost a loved one over there feels the sting. I hope all of us remember that the next time we decide we can go win a war and be home be Christmas. Didn't happen in Korea, didn't happen in Vietnam, didn't happen in Iraq or Afghanistan, won't happen the next time either.
Which brings me to China. There are two options. We can try diplomacy, a mix of force projection and soft power and economic relations, or we can give up. We're not going to go to war with China over Taiwan. Xi knows that, the Pentagon knows that, everybody knows that. Trying to buy more ships and planes and put more military power in the sea isn't going to work because it's like the dude who is always talking about how his hands are registered deadly weapons. It's all BS and everyone knows it. The era of the US just thumping down a nuke and demanding people do what we tell them ending in 1963 if not earlier and it's not coming back.
We'll close with debt. Debt isn't bad. National debt doesn't get repaid like your car loan, it's not the same kind of debt. National debt is more like corporate debt for a multinational corp. It's issued, you make the debt service payments and you never refinance it unless there's a sweetheart deal out there because it's a cheap way to get more money to do stuff, like buying planes and ships and farm subsidies and building roads and medicare. You'll ever notice how big companies don't run on cash basis? How the biggest companies issue stock and carry loads of debt? You want to run the government like a business we can do that. The number 1 way a government raises funds is through issuing debt and raising taxes, and a government's business is providing services. You can go back to the 1940s and find the same people insisting that there's a debt timebomb ticking and we have to cut spending to fix it, but A) they instantly stop believing it when Republicans are in power and B) the first two generations of the alarmists died and the third generation is on their way. Of course, if we did want to, for some unknowable reason, pay down the debt, cutting spending is the wrong way to do it. The easiest way to do it would be to reinstate the tax brackets from the 1950s and 1960s. The chart below adjusts to 2013 dollars, when it was published.
Likewise, real income (adjusted to 2012 dollars)
Now garsh I'm just a lowly accountant, but it sure does seem like there's some kind of relationship between when we started offshoring jobs and money and cutting those tippy top tax brackets, and when corporations started becoming more uncontrollable, unaccountable, and acting like their own governments. I wonder if there's any relationship between that and that strange effect where real income gets smushed down so the people at the bottom never see real gains while those top quintiles are just running away with it.
Coincidence I'm sure. We just need to cut taxes, offer corporations more tax loopholes and rebates, and use more prison labor so people can't just quit a job when it's not worth it!