Montana Draw - How does it work

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In the Official Montana 2025 Draw thread there has been a lot of confusion (me included) on how the non-resident draw actually works. After talking with Montana FWP I'm not sure I fully grasp it yet either, but below is a summary of what they provided me.

Primary Draw - this draw is conducted solely on preference points. 75% of the tags go to people with the most preference points and the remaining 25% go to people with 0 points. They give out 17,000 total tags (big game combo and elk combo). When you look at the draw statistics you are looking at results from this draw and this draw only. As we know you must draw a non-resident big game combo or elk combo tag before you can enter the drawing for limited entry.

When you fill out the app you can select if you want a refund and to return your general tag, if you don't draw a limited entry tag. Example - Applied with 3 points, drew a big game combo, but didn't get your limited entry permit, so you opt for a refund. Now your big game combo is is available in the "released portion" of the draw.

This link gives some good examples starting on page 6 ( chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://fwp.mt.gov/binaries/content/assets/fwp/aboutfwp/legislature/2025/ly-23.pdf )

You can apply for deer, deer + elk, or just elk, number of apps drives available tags for each. Example - I apply for elk only and draw in the initial drawing - that makes a deer tag available to someone else in the "released portion" of the drawing.

2024 Example - 4,600 base quota deer permits + 1,120 Land owner released + 4, 776 released from ppl applied for elk combo = 10,496 general deer combo tags.

Once the initial draw is done, we move into the "released portion" of the draw. Note to people who apply in a party, if your app is not filled out exactly (refund selection and tags applied for) the same by everyone in your party your group gets split up during this draw! Montana claims this portion of the draw is done based on preference points, but that is not entirely true (we know people report drawing with less than 2 points, while guys with 2 points don't draw).

There are two parts to the released tag draw - tags returned by people with preference points go to people with preference points. Tags returned by people with 0 preference points go to people with 0 points.

Then it falls off the rails - the tags get issued to someone who had the same refund option selected in the draw and was next in line from the initial drawing based on the number of preference points. This is how we get people drawing with less than 2 points in this portion of the draw. They put a lot of emphasis on how the app is completed for "refund options" (how party apps get split up also). Depending on applications for a given year you could draw with 1 point.

They also stated they can't post the actual draw results because they are too complex (too many variations of apps every year). I asked them to post something online for next year to give us some type of visual example of how the draw "might work".
 
Things Less Complicated Than the Montana Draw:


1. Filing your taxes… in crayon… while blindfolded.


2. Explaining TikTok to a grandparent.


3. Building IKEA furniture without instructions.


4. Women


5. Negotiating peace in the Middle East.


6. Getting out of a conversation with someone who does CrossFit.
 
"They also stated they can't post the actual draw results because they are too complex" = trust me bro, you wouldn't understand. This mentality explains exactly how some influencer types can "randomly" draw multiple sheep tags within the span of a few years....very interesting
 
Things Less Complicated Than the Montana Draw:


1. Filing your taxes… in crayon… while blindfolded.


2. Explaining TikTok to a grandparent.


3. Building IKEA furniture without instructions.


4. Women


5. Negotiating peace in the Middle East.


6. Getting out of a conversation with someone who does CrossFit.
You may be right on all of those points, but somehow many thousands figure it out and come here anyway! :D
 
"They also stated they can't post the actual draw results because they are too complex" = trust me bro, you wouldn't understand. This mentality explains exactly how some influencer types can "randomly" draw multiple sheep tags within the span of a few years....very interesting
If what I was told is true for the non-resident draw is true it wouldn’t be worth reporting draw results and try to explain it to the general public.

Statistically I have drawn a lot more tags than I should have - sometimes you get lucky! Other times you can’t get a Montana general tag with 2 points, while some other dude gets it with 1.5 😂.
 
Skip to the front of the line if you own 2500 acres and skip the whole PP thing -even as a NR.

Sure simplifies a lot.
 
The ironic part is that most of the guys that went in with 1.5 points did so intentionally because they did NOT want to draw while the guys that went in with 2 points DID want to draw, so everyone is getting screwed.
 
The ironic part is that most of the guys that went in with 1.5 points did so intentionally because they did NOT want to draw while the guys that went in with 2 points DID want to draw, so everyone is getting screwed.
Very true! It definitely makes group apps more difficult to plan out, but it’s still doable just need to change application strategy. With less than 2 points you should never draw in the initially drawing as a group unless applications tank, just need to stay out of the released portion of the draw.
 
Once the initial draw is done, we move into the "released portion" of the draw. Note to people who apply in a party, if your app is not filled out exactly (refund selection and tags applied for) the same by everyone in your party your group gets split up during this draw!

To my knowledge, parties get split up at this point no matter what. Been there done that.
 
I think you’re interpreting it wrong. Can you please link the source document?
That is what was displayed on your draw results. It has been shared on here previously when parties were split up during the “released tag” portion of the draw.

I wish I was interpreting it wrong, but they split parties up if the refund options are the same for each member of the party.
 
You may be right on all of those points, but somehow many thousands figure it out and come here anyway! :D

Nobody is saying that getting a tag is hard.

Trying to explain the clustereff of different scenarios of how you might come to obtain said tag, how it changes if applying as a group, how the deer/elk combo vs just deer or elk combo changes these things, how the "released tags" work, and on and on is a different story. Magnitudes more convoluted than any other state i'm aware of.

But they cant even figure out how to control how many people draw limited sheep tags correctly so i'm sure they get the clustereff deer/elk situation right!
 
That is what was displayed on your draw results. It has been shared on here previously when parties were split up during the “released tag” portion of the draw.

I wish I was interpreting it wrong, but they split parties up if the refund options are the same for each member of the party.

They split it up regardless. The table is a reference for interpreting your draw results. While you can infer some information about the actual process it is not a reference on the actual process. Sure, it is possible they could have changed the draw process since 2023, but I believe that would take an act of the Montana legislature.
 
They split it up regardless. The table is a reference for interpreting your draw results. While you can infer some information about the actual process it is not a reference on the actual process. Sure, it is possible they could have changed the draw process since 2023, but I believe that would take an act of the Montana legislature.
So your understanding is that groups are split up for the released portion of the draw no matter what?
 
So your understanding is that groups are split up for the released portion of the draw no matter what?

Correct. This was told to my party mate on the phone and via email in 2023 when we were split. He spoke with multiple people and escalated it beyond just the folks that pick up the phone. I believed at the time they were breaking their own law by doing this and that they also had conflicting information on their website so I would love to see FWP published information that challenges what I have posted.
 
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