Is the current high tag demand a bubble that will crash in the next 10 years?

[Macintosh]

Not to single out any one reply, but there's a lot of observations in this thread that are anecdotal such as "I see lots of 20 somethings getting into the sport" or "I'm still going to be elk hunting at 75." Those are all valid observations, but there's actual peer reviewed research out there that that shows those things to simply not be true. This is from 2016, and I'd love to see how the models have played out 9 years later, but almost every age cohort of hunters has shown a steep decline at age 70.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/disappearance-hunting-fishing-loren-chase/

Some of the the slipping away of the Baby Boomer generation is going to be offset with more people hunting more states, less tags available for a variety of reasons, population growth in the West, etc etc. I'm not an R3 advocate whatsoever, so don't take it that way, but there's most likely not a 1:1 replacement happening.

Again. Yes but also no. Nationally thats what the data shows. And the age cohort thing is also part of the demographic info earlier in this thread. But also look at the double digit increases in licenses sold per state also posted in this thread. We get nowhere in this conversation unless both the national as well as the state and regional trends are acknowledged. Its perfectly clear that whatever the reason—perhaps rapid increase in population in many western states, media playing up western hunting, etc—the national trend is simply not whats happening if your view is only confined to specific states.

From my earlier post looking at linked data on hunting licenses sold per state:

Looking at the CHANGE during the period from 2015 thru 2019,

• the western states combined increased license sales by 12.8% (CA -1.5%, CO 6.3%, Or 27%, Id 14%, MT -1%, UT 17.7%, AZ 55%, WA -.8%, WY -1.1%, AK 16%, NM 9.8%, NV 6.4%). Unlike other areas this was a steady increase each year.

 

[Idaboy]

This is the new norm,unless there is mass exodus from social media (including rokslide) that's where all the marketing is, we are all part of the algorithm. I like learning on rokslide and I do watch the occasional YouTube hunting video, so I am guilty too. But that is unfortunately how it's evolving