I read it again. I see: your hinging putin’s invasion on oil prices. Low fuel prices = no invasion. High fuel prices = invade.
While there may be a tiny bit of credibility to the connection, there would seem to be a number of factors out of Trump’s (or any sitting president’s) control that could cause fuel prices to rise. That connection alone, would be a roll of the dice as to whether or not it would prevent putin’s invasion, certainly not enough to stake an absolute claim to.
I certainly think that Biden could have been considerably stronger and more allusive leading up to the invasion, perhaps making Putin 2nd guess himself and maybe Trump would have done something similar, but I can’t know. The whole, “the US will have no part” statements just seemed weak. Maybe even suggesting that the US “will respond” or deploying all or most 14 “boomer” subs would have made a statement unto itself.
Who knows? It’s all hypothetical at this point, but here we are: Russia is rolling on Ukraine and potentially (according to the Brits) gearing up for more countries. Gas prices are sky high, I easily spend $150 a week at the grocery store as a bachelor, and median house prices far exceed what any median income worker can possibly ever afford. It’s all in the shitter.