The science is final…

Joined
Nov 10, 2020
Messages
317
Well boys, the verdict is in. Some egghead did a study on factors that make for a successful deer and elk hunter, and it’s about what you’d expect: See the study here

To summarize:
-deer hunting success correlated strongly with hours per day spent outside of camp (success increases 18% per hour spent outside of camp)
-elk hunting success correlated strongly with hours per day spent outside of camp AND scouting (scouting increases success by 418%)
-experience, age, gender, or use of a vehicle did not predict success. Effort expended had a small impact on success
 

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OP
Ozarkansas
Joined
Nov 10, 2020
Messages
317
The title of the study is:

Success is dependent on effort: Unraveling characteristics of successful deer and elk hunters
My bad, I misquoted part of the study that referenced another study looking into perceived effort vs success, thinking it was one of the variables assessed here
 
Joined
Jul 30, 2015
Messages
5,734
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Lenexa, KS
Eh might as well post the abstract!

Abstract

The pursuit of ungulates as game animals, whether for recreation, cultural tradition, or meat, is a dominant activity on public and private lands in North America and much of the world. Strategic regulation of hunting is key for managing game population abundance, age and sex structure, and distribution, with harvest rates a function of both hunter success and participation. Hunter satisfaction is often linked to success and ultimately with hunter recruitment and retention, a growing concern for wildlife agencies. Yet knowledge is lacking about what hunter characteristics or behaviors are linked with success, and how these may differ among common hunt types. We used survey and spatial data from hunters (n = 416) during a 6‐year observational study in northeastern Oregon, USA to characterize hunter traits associated with success for 3 hunt types for antlered males: rifle deer (Odocoileus spp.), archery elk (Cervus canadensis), and rifle elk. We modeled the success for rifle deer and rifle elk hunters using logistic regression models in a Bayesian hierarchical approach. Annual success rates were highly variable, ranging from 4 to 76% for rifle deer and 20 to 56% for rifle elk hunters, and from 0 to 14% for archery elk. Age distributions of hunters were similar across hunt types (x̅= 47.2 years), and male hunters were ~8 times as common as females (n = 370 vs. n = 46, respectively). Success rates for men and women, however, were comparable within hunt types. Successful hunters spent more hours per day outside camp (x̅= 7.4 vs. 6.4 for unsuccessful hunters) and expended a slightly larger percentage of their hunting effort on foot (x̅= 87.8%) than did unsuccessful hunters (x̅= 84.6%). The best model predicting success of rifle deer hunters was based on hours per day spent outside camp during the hunting hours, with each additional hour increasing odds of success by 26%. For rifle elk hunters, the best model included time outside camp and a binary covariate for scouting. The odds of success increased by 418% for hunters who scouted versus those who did not, and by 18% with each additional hour per day spent hunting outside of camp. Summed model weights indicated that hours per day outside camp and scouting were most informative, and that use of an all‐terrain vehicle, age, and experience were unrelated to hunter success. Both models performed reasonably well (correct classification rates of 0.74 and 0.70 for rifle deer and rifle elk models, respectively). Our study augmented the relatively limited published information about behavioral factors associated with successful harvest of deer and elk, and we recommend additional research to better unravel the nexus of success and hunter characteristics and behavior to help sustain recreational hunting and big game populations.
 

Traveler

WKR
Joined
Dec 20, 2020
Messages
346
Time in the field…in the right places. Wonder how they controlled for population density
 
Joined
Feb 2, 2020
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2,087
I would to see one done that involves success rates by cartridge. This of course would be skewed by the tendency of one group of folks tending to use X cartridge more than the other group that happens to not practice as much.

People that love numbers just feel the need to analyze everything. Regardless of whether it's meaningful. That is a pretty silly study
 

Team4LongGun

SUPER MODERATOR
Staff member
Joined
Aug 4, 2019
Messages
1,615
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NW MT
As a mod, I was thinking this was about covid, and figured it wouldn't last long.

As a red blooded American, I was hoping it was about covid, because we have some epic arguments.....
 

Trial153

WKR
Joined
Oct 28, 2014
Messages
8,187
Location
NY
The Bino harness you use is the best indicator of success. There is a direct correlation.
 

Pacific_Fork

Well Known Rokslider
Joined
May 26, 2019
Messages
1,124
Location
North Idaho
Yea but what about going to those “master” classes and escouting tutorials!? Has to up your success by 7,000,000,000 % easily.
 
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