New Mexico tag strategy for nonresidents

[Chris in TN]

Don’t overthink it. Just put in for the hunts you would like to do or like to take your kids on. The odds of drawing everything you want are extremely low. I had a lot of applications out as a resident and didn’t draw a single thing. I haven’t drawn a rifle deer tag in this state in 25 years. Still beats a preference point system because I have a chance every year.

Yikes. 25 years is a long time by eastern standards. But I appreciate the advice and the perspective.

We will probably do exactly that and all three of us apply for pronghorn tags, likely on separate applications. I have some workable ideas on backup plans in other states, and all winter to sort it out. Thanks.

 

[butcherboy]

Yikes. 25 years is a long time by eastern standards. But I appreciate the advice and the perspective.

We will probably do exactly that and all three of us apply for pronghorn tags, likely on separate applications. I have some workable ideas on backup plans in other states, and all winter to sort it out. Thanks.

Also, I live in the four corners area so if you come for visit I can give you some good places to eat and things to do/see.

 

[Maverick1]

Analysis paralysis. As an adult NR applicant, this is an example of how it works.
100 NR’s apply. 1 draws a tag. You are not the lucky 1. You are one of the 99 losers, just like the rest of us. That’s it.

I would not be concerned with drawing too many tags.

 

[Chris in TN]

Also, I live in the four corners area so if you come for visit I can give you some good places to eat and things to do/see.

I'd likely take you up on that.


When we came through Santa Fe a few weeks ago on the way back from CO I took my daughter to the best restaurant I knew to go to - Blake's Lotaburger. lol.

 

[Chris in TN]

Analysis paralysis. As an adult NR applicant, this is an example of how it works.
100 NR’s apply. 1 draws a tag. You are not the lucky 1. You are one of the 99 losers, just like the rest of us. That’s it.

I would not be concerned with drawing too many tags.

Again, I honestly needed to hear that.

 

[Maverick1]

Again, I honestly needed to hear that.

You are welcome, I guess! To be more analytical, you can look at the draw odds. From there it is simple mathematics.

If there are two independent outcomes, with each having a 1% probably of happening (drawing a tag), the chance of both independent outcomes happening (drawing two tags) is
0.01%.

When two events are independent, the probability of both occurring is the product of their individual probabilities. In this case, each event has a 1% chance of happening, which is a probability of 0.01. Therefore, the probability of both events happening is calculated as

0.01×0.01=0.0001
, or 0.01%.