MT NR general elk odds

[Speaks]

Because a certain percentage of tags (25% maybe?) go to 0 point holders.

But no tags go to people with one point? Is it like a rule if you have one point you cant enter but with none you can?

 

[cornfedkiller]

But no tags go to people with one point? Is it like a rule if you have one point you cant enter but with none you can?

Nope you still can, but by the time they give them to 3 and 2 point holders, they're all gone. Thats why 1 has 0%.

 

[CMF]

But no tags go to people with one point? Is it like a rule if you have one point you cant enter but with none you can?

It's a true preference system for 75% of tags,(After the 25% for zero points).
Also, you can't have more than 3 points, not sure if they purge them or you get stuck there.

So currently anyone with 3 will draw, anyone with 2 is in a pool of applicants that is bigger than the available tags, hence the 84% at 2. Some 2 pt tag holders will not draw and will go in the next year with 3. No tags make down to the 1pt level.
Eventually years down the road, demand will outweigh supply, and the 2-point level odds will continue to creep down to zero chance of drawing. It will then become a random draw in the 3-point pool.

 

[Speaks]

It's a true preference system for 75% of tags,(After the 25% for zero points).
Also, you can't have more than 3 points, not sure if they purge them or you get stuck there.

So currently anyone with 3 will draw, anyone with 2 is in a pool of applicants that is bigger than the available tags, hence the 84% at 2. Some 2 pt tag holders will not draw and will go in the next year with 3. No tags make down to the 1pt level.
Eventually years down the road, demand will outweigh supply, and the 2-point level odds will continue to creep down to zero chance of drawing. It will then become a random draw in the 3-point pool.

Ok that makes sense, got it

 

[Elk97]

They told me that 1pts was basically 0% but I got a tag in '24 with 1pt. So go figure.

 

[OlderGobbler]

At what point do we start letting some of these guys figure it out on their own? Every year tags get harder and harder to come by. Yet, it has literally never been easier to figure out than it is today. Every single piece of the process is spoon fed to everyone by all these people trying to make money off of the game. I wish every state were like MT; it will make a person read a little bit. I googled "Montana draw stats"; it then took me exactly 5 clicks and less than 15 seconds to get to the information in question.

 

[CMF]

They told me that 1pts was basically 0% but I got a tag in '24 with 1pt. So go figure.

I've read or heard different things. I've heard that 25% are reserved for 0 points, and I've read that all remaining applications regardless of point level go into a random drawing for the 25%. But gohunt shows 0% odds for 1pt, so idk which is right.

 

[DonV]

I simply kept an eye on WY sheep NR apps since 2000, others also observed the same thing. Think about

I got a point last year and I think I can get a point this year and then apply. What are my odds of drawing my general elk tag?

Last year I got an elk preference point this year I would like to apply for a "General Big Game (Deer & Elk) Combination $1278" Did I get the right type of point? Is there a separate draw for General Big Game Combination and "General Elk Combination"? Is yes what are the odds for the "General Big Game (Deer & Elk) Combination $1278"

I am a nonresident.