Idaho Winter Stats

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Apr 1, 2016
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733
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Eastern Washington
I don't think the numbers in central Idaho bounced back before the winter of 2016 from the kill off in the late 90's. it's going to take years of mild winters to get the numbers up after last winter. We need to go to a draw hunt.
I can't help but agree with you. Even though it was before I had a chance to take advantage of it, I know what use to come out of the country east of you. It has never even reached being a shadow of what it once was in the late 80's and early 90's. With wolves what they are now I don't see a way for it to even "kind of" recover without it going to a draw.
 
Joined
Jan 17, 2013
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494
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Idaho
I can't help but agree with you. Even though it was before I had a chance to take advantage of it, I know what use to come out of the country east of you. It has never even reached being a shadow of what it once was in the late 80's and early 90's. With wolves what they are now I don't see a way for it to even "kind of" recover without it going to a draw.

Have you ever seen a situation where implementing a draw hunt recovered a herd to the point of reopening OTC opportunity?

I haven't.

You have to go all the way back to 1955-1970 to see consistently higher harvest numbers than we had from 2012-2016. Deer harvest bottomed out in 1976 at 25,000 and spent most of the 1970's below 45,000. There was a brief blip from 1987-1991 where harvest went from the long term average of 50,000 and peaked at 95,000 with the other years exceeding 70,000. Admittedly, there is some ambiguity with these numbers because IDFG didn't start separating Mule Deer from Whitetail in the numbers until the 1990's. Even with that in mind it is a good measuring stick.

Even during these "glory years" periods the yearling bucks still made up 50% of the harvest. During those years the percentage of females in the harvest averaged 15%, compared to 5% today.

There definitely were times in the past when the deer hunting was better but there were just as many or more times when it was worse than it is now.

I don't think that controlled hunts are the answer. In general deer do recover. The greatest limiting factor on deer populations has always been winter severity and availability of winter range. And as I posted earlier, antler point restrictions reduce trophy quality over time by shifting hunter focus and pressure to only the older age class deer. When that happens you end up with fewer trophy quality bucks not more.

I think IDFG responded well to the the 2016-17 winter, they cut the majority of antleress opportunity to speed recovery. They didn't do this after the 2007-08 or 2010-11 winters. This years winter set it back but anterless opportunity is still reduced and if we have a few mild winters we will see the population grow. It will be interesting to see if it grows faster because of the reduced doe harvest or if will match the pace of previous recoveries.
 

IdahoHntr

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393
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Idaho Falls
Isn’t 42% fawn survival good?? I’ve heard much lower in CO.

It isn't good, but it isn't absolutely terrible either. It's below average, but nothing like the 30% of a couple years ago. I feel like the fish and game has done a good job responding to these winters, but I do wish they would limit more doe harvest. Nobody should be killing a mule deer doe in the state of Idaho right now, except for in the case of depredation issues. That being said I really think that as long as we don't get a string of continuous winters like this past one, or the winter of 16-17 then the deer will bounce back.

The other side of this discussion is the good that comes from the snow we've received in the past few years. The quality of feed goes up and the competition for that feed goes down. It creates a physically healthy deer population that is capable of rebounding, possibly even better than before if we can get some luck with winters.
 
Joined
Apr 1, 2016
Messages
733
Location
Eastern Washington
Have you ever seen a situation where implementing a draw hunt recovered a herd to the point of reopening OTC opportunity?

I haven't.

You have to go all the way back to 1955-1970 to see consistently higher harvest numbers than we had from 2012-2016. Deer harvest bottomed out in 1976 at 25,000 and spent most of the 1970's below 45,000. There was a brief blip from 1987-1991 where harvest went from the long term average of 50,000 and peaked at 95,000 with the other years exceeding 70,000. Admittedly, there is some ambiguity with these numbers because IDFG didn't start separating Mule Deer from Whitetail in the numbers until the 1990's. Even with that in mind it is a good measuring stick.

Even during these "glory years" periods the yearling bucks still made up 50% of the harvest. During those years the percentage of females in the harvest averaged 15%, compared to 5% today.

There definitely were times in the past when the deer hunting was better but there were just as many or more times when it was worse than it is now.

I don't think that controlled hunts are the answer. In general deer do recover. The greatest limiting factor on deer populations has always been winter severity and availability of winter range. And as I posted earlier, antler point restrictions reduce trophy quality over time by shifting hunter focus and pressure to only the older age class deer. When that happens you end up with fewer trophy quality bucks not more.

I think IDFG responded well to the the 2016-17 winter, they cut the majority of antleress opportunity to speed recovery. They didn't do this after the 2007-08 or 2010-11 winters. This years winter set it back but anterless opportunity is still reduced and if we have a few mild winters we will see the population grow. It will be interesting to see if it grows faster because of the reduced doe harvest or if will match the pace of previous recoveries.
There's some important numbers being left out like herd numbers, number of hunters, acres of suitable habitat, success rates, number of days hunted, and predator number. Maybe coincidence, maybe not, but one can't help but notice those numbers kind of correlate with how the economy was doing at the time. Maybe it does recover to OTC levels, maybe things get left as a draw to have it be a quality hunt, maybe it gets turned into a limited quota. One thing that is for certain is that there's far more obstacles in the way of the mule deer population rebounding now than there was during the "glory years".
 
Joined
Mar 2, 2019
Messages
491
1) I'm a non resident.

2) If you find that my idea offensive, I've got some 'your momma' jokes to tell you.

3) I never said anything about raising money for the resource, just limiting the pressure on it.

4) By the amount of question marks and use of an exclamation point it proves that my idea has some basis that it might work.

5) In my opinion, for what's available in Idaho for deer (excluding maybe north Idaho white tails) the value is not there to pay +/-$477.50 for an OTC deer tag. I believe in the saying "a fool and his money are often separated" so I'm just playing off of that. Limit the number of fools willing to pay the price of an out of state OTC deer tag in a state that has herds suffering from some bad winters and separate more money from the fools still willing to pay.

Leo,
Thanks for this latest response. I should not have stated that "we were paying enough". It sounds like we ALL need to be paying MORE!!! As far as being offended, I apologize up front, but, I get testy when I see a general statement that puts all the blame and burden on NR hunters when no credence is given to the fact that Resident experiences would be much different (maybe worse) if NR hunters did not participate. I believe many western residents tend to overestimate the NR hunter impact to game management and Resident experiences. Along the same line, Residents tend to underestimate the benefit that NR hunters provide to the resource, state game agencies and local economies through their purchases while Residents are the primary beneficiary of NR inclusion. State agencies are generally run on shoe string budgets and if there were no NR license/tag sales, the residents would bear that cost or suffer the consequences of inadequacy. Also, most NR hunters are not fools and are not looking for a dink or younger buck and WILL refrain from their purchases if opportunity does not exist. They are some that will shoot just ANY buck for the experience and that annoys me too but, alas.... this has been a struggle with tolerance for the ages.
With that, You are absolutely right on your cost/benefit assumption. I don't put in for ID anymore for this very reason. My father and I hunted the Salmon-Lemhi-Challis area exclusively in the late 70's through the early 90's (on years we drew tags) with as much success as defeat. We were hunting DIY with Resident friends for older age class deer and they were not plentiful but, you could find a few good ones (180+) if you worked hard. I went back in 2004 (I think) and the opportunity just wasn't the same or even close. Whitetails were abundant in traditional Mule deer haunts and ranchettes and other housing developments speckled what was once great deer habitat. As a result, access was MUCH more limited to some of the spots we liked to hunt! I quit applying and moved on which proves your point.
Through the years, I wish I had a dollar for every Idaho resident that stated they had killed or were looking for a meat buck. We didn't come to Idaho for a "meat" buck but, I saw a many a dead one at the hand of residents. This has changed some, for the better, with the higher cost of second tags but, is still prevalent according to my to my past hunting partners in Idaho. What i should have said is that it very easy to hit the easy button by placing all blame and/or burden on NR hunters when residents have the propensity to affect populations and pressure as much as anybody.
Maybe the answer, as some have said, is to eliminate OTC tags in favor of a draw for tags to limit pressure and enhance hunter experience and ultimately improving the resource but, going up on the NR tags alone will provide insignificant results--we expect to pay more and will pay more for a good experience!

My point is a little tolerance goes a long way and promotes all of us working together to benefit the whole! I hope Idaho gets this worked out! I would love to bring my son to relive the experiences I shared there with my father.

Respectfully,
100
PS: Yo momma's so dumb she stared at a glass of orange juice for 12 hours because it said concentrate!!:ROFLMAO:
 
Joined
Jan 17, 2013
Messages
494
Location
Idaho
There's some important numbers being left out like herd numbers, number of hunters, acres of suitable habitat, success rates, number of days hunted, and predator number. Maybe coincidence, maybe not, but one can't help but notice those numbers kind of correlate with how the economy was doing at the time. Maybe it does recover to OTC levels, maybe things get left as a draw to have it be a quality hunt, maybe it gets turned into a limited quota. One thing that is for certain is that there's far more obstacles in the way of the mule deer population rebounding now than there was during the "glory years".

Agreed. To many factors to try to concisely address in a forum. Harvest numbers and % 4pt are easier to find and compile than population estimates so I use them as an imperfect litmus test to reflect all factors combined.

In my opinion the perpetuation of mule deer and mule deer hunting comes down to preserving habitat. The more winter range and migration corridors we can protect, the more mule deer we will have. As long as the habitat is there, mule deer will recover from bad winters.
 
Joined
Apr 1, 2016
Messages
733
Location
Eastern Washington
Leo,
Thanks for this latest response. I should not have stated that "we were paying enough". It sounds like we ALL need to be paying MORE!!! As far as being offended, I apologize up front, but, I get testy when I see a general statement that puts all the blame and burden on NR hunters when no credence is given to the fact that Resident experiences would be much different (maybe worse) if NR hunters did not participate. I believe many western residents tend to overestimate the NR hunter impact to game management and Resident experiences. Along the same line, Residents tend to underestimate the benefit that NR hunters provide to the resource, state game agencies and local economies through their purchases while Residents are the primary beneficiary of NR inclusion. State agencies are generally run on shoe string budgets and if there were no NR license/tag sales, the residents would bear that cost or suffer the consequences of inadequacy. Also, most NR hunters are not fools and are not looking for a dink or younger buck and WILL refrain from their purchases if opportunity does not exist. They are some that will shoot just ANY buck for the experience and that annoys me too but, alas.... this has been a struggle with tolerance for the ages.
With that, You are absolutely right on your cost/benefit assumption. I don't put in for ID anymore for this very reason. My father and I hunted the Salmon-Lemhi-Challis area exclusively in the late 70's through the early 90's (on years we drew tags) with as much success as defeat. We were hunting DIY with Resident friends for older age class deer and they were not plentiful but, you could find a few good ones (180+) if you worked hard. I went back in 2004 (I think) and the opportunity just wasn't the same or even close. Whitetails were abundant in traditional Mule deer haunts and ranchettes and other housing developments speckled what was once great deer habitat. As a result, access was MUCH more limited to some of the spots we liked to hunt! I quit applying and moved on which proves your point.
Through the years, I wish I had a dollar for every Idaho resident that stated they had killed or were looking for a meat buck. We didn't come to Idaho for a "meat" buck but, I saw a many a dead one at the hand of residents. This has changed some, for the better, with the higher cost of second tags but, is still prevalent according to my to my past hunting partners in Idaho. What i should have said is that it very easy to hit the easy button by placing all blame and/or burden on NR hunters when residents have the propensity to affect populations and pressure as much as anybody.
Maybe the answer, as some have said, is to eliminate OTC tags in favor of a draw for tags to limit pressure and enhance hunter experience and ultimately improving the resource but, going up on the NR tags alone will provide insignificant results--we expect to pay more and will pay more for a good experience!

My point is a little tolerance goes a long way and promotes all of us working together to benefit the whole! I hope Idaho gets this worked out! I would love to bring my son to relive the experiences I shared there with my father.

Respectfully,
100
PS: Yo momma's so dumb she stared at a glass of orange juice for 12 hours because it said concentrate!!:ROFLMAO:
My observations are admittedly somewhat skewed from what most non-resident hunters see. I've been floating around the edges of outfitter camps a in Idaho a decent chunk of my in a unit that's OTC for archery and rifle deer. What I see on a regular basis is guys coming from out of state paying big money for a drop camp or guided elk hunt and buying a deer tag as an after thought. I've not seen one of those tags go on a buck I'd consider worth paying out of state prices for. You'd be surprised how many forked horns, 3 x 3's and small 4 x 4's make their way back east of the Mississippi. I can't blame Idaho residents for shooting meat bucks, if I was an Idaho resident I'd do the same thing on OTC tags. My reasoning for the thought of upping the prices for non-residents isn't about us all paying for more for the resource. It's just that I feel if there's going to be steps taken to limit pressure on the resource that it should first land on the back of non-residents before residents are effected.

I'm sure most residents appreciate that their state is gets a good chunk of non-resident dollars. What does suck though, is when a resident shows up to a trail head and can't find a parking spot that's not filled with an out of state plate. Idaho is the marginally more budget friendly option for out of state western hunting, but that means it draws a ton of out of state pressure because of it's proximity to Washington and California where there's some seriously screwed up game management.
 

sneaky

"DADDY"
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ID
Or just up the cost of an out of state deer tag. Guys will get tired of putting expensive tags on dinks and just go elsewhere.
Not really. MT has used that formula for years, and guys still keep paying the price. Their NR tags are double what ID charges, with less trophy quality.

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Joined
Mar 31, 2018
Messages
363
Location
Reno, Nevada
Not really. MT has used that formula for years, and guys still keep paying the price. Their NR tags are double what ID charges, with less trophy quality.

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Ya upping the price wont change anything. The NR tags have been selling out lately suggesting there is more demand than supply.

If you want less hunters you either have to reduce tags or wait till the economy goes down then people will have less money for extracurricular activities.

Bernie 2020!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

sneaky

"DADDY"
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Messages
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ID
Also I am out of state now once resident n Idaho Native it is a disgrace what the out of state pressure has become. I am all for upping tag costs for res and non res its the cheapest state there is tag wise for elk. N Az tags are actually not bad for deer but it needs to happen in ID. I see way bigger bucks in the desert of Az than the mountains of ID. If you don't like the cost stay home in Mississippi and enjoy hunting the swamps for small whitetails on private farms n hunting clubs.

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Actually, Utah NR elk tags are cheaper than Idaho, unless you draw an LE tag. Hunting license is cheaper as well. Antler point restrictions don't work, been documented in several states and studies, and was already discussed above in the thread. NR tags are capped, residents aren't. It isn't the NR hunters that are killing all the deer, most NR have zero clue when they hit the ground for the hunt. A few get lucky, but the majority get taken to school.

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robby denning

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SE Idaho
I disagree, especially in north Idaho (your location) where in most units there are enough deer to have either sex general seasons and the % 5 pt harvest is generally over 20%. IDFG is addressing the issue of over harvest in some units by prohibiting the use of second tags and shortening the season length to traditional dates. Give those measures some time to work.

Antler point restrictions tend to have a negative effect on trophy quality over time. By disallowing the harvest of young bucks you shift all hunting pressure to the larger bucks, eventually diminishing the number of deer reaching old age which is the primary predictor in trophy quality. Younger bucks will continue to experience other forms of mortality so you cannot "bank" them until they are older. The abundance of young bucks then compete for resources with the few remaining older age class bucks diminishing the potential of older bucks. Washington has had antler point restrictions for many years and has documented all the above as well as increased poaching due to hunters shooting bucks and then leaving them in the field when they discover the deer has too few points to be legal. Wyoming has also published their findings on Antler point restrictions and corroborate the same.

We had a couple bad winters that have impacted deer populations. Give it time and the deer will rebound. We don't need to place more restrictions that would be obsolete in a couple years once good winters help the deer rebound. This is nature, we can't artificially maintain game populations at a constant level, there will be fluctuations.

I agree. If antler restrictions were so great, they’d stick around the Western states but they almost always fade away as hunters realize they have limited affect. Except two-point only, that one works but man is it a tough one to swallow




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robby denning

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1) I'm a non resident.

2) If you find that my idea offensive, I've got some 'your momma' jokes to tell you.

3) I never said anything about raising money for the resource, just limiting the pressure on it.

4) By the amount of question marks and use of an exclamation point it proves that my idea has some basis that it might work.

5) In my opinion, for what's available in Idaho for deer (excluding maybe north Idaho white tails) the value is not there to pay +/-$477.50 for an OTC deer tag. I believe in the saying "a fool and his money are often separated" so I'm just playing off of that. Limit the number of fools willing to pay the price of an out of state OTC deer tag in a state that has herds suffering from some bad winters and separate more money from the fools still willing to pay.

“Your momma jokes” will get you banned


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robby denning

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I have poor internet right now so I can’t see all this thread but I don’t see a link to Idaho’s Draft Management Plan. I’ve read about 70% of it. Some decent ideas in there. I don’t see how limiting the NR that is already limited by our statewide cap is gonna make much of a difference, (they’re only averaging 14% of total) but I could be wrong


(@VANDAL, here’s that discussion thread)
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Joined
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Reno, Nevada
I have poor internet right now so I can’t see all this thread but I don’t see a link to Idaho’s Draft Management Plan. I’ve read about 70% of it. Some decent ideas in there. I don’t see how limiting the NR that is already limited by our statewide cap is gonna make much of a difference, (they’re only averaging 14% of total) but I could be wrong


(@VANDAL, here’s that discussion thread)
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Interesting stuff in there Robby. Thanks for posting
 

Extrapale

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Aug 29, 2012
Messages
426
Non res with no stake in the game. I've only hunted there a couple times.

Increasing non res fees might decrease the amount of res picking up a seond tag. It also might make ones that do pay the increased price feel more obligated to fill it.

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VANDAL

WKR
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Feb 29, 2012
Messages
342
I came up with 16% of mule deer hunters in 2018 were non-resident. I agree, that’s a reasonable allocation and percentage to me.

Where I hope this management plan is heading is allowing tag quotas on an individual unit/region basis versus 14k non-res tags state wide. We all know mule deer populations can vary drastically annually based on the winter mortality. Some areas experience high mortality were others might not.

For example, last year non-res tags sold out prior to the general Oct 10th deer hunt opener. This was the first time in a long time and put 1,000+ extra deer hunters out there in a time when numbers are struggling. I’m talking more specifically to eastern and SE Idaho.

The F&G cut some controlled hunts but minimal compared to the added non-residents. The F&G could not control it and that was just how it played out. In my opinion, tag quotas by unit would be a more effective way of managing the quality of deer.




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Idahohillboy

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Hailey Idaho
I have poor internet right now so I can’t see all this thread but I don’t see a link to Idaho’s Draft Management Plan. I’ve read about 70% of it. Some decent ideas in there. I don’t see how limiting the NR that is already limited by our statewide cap is gonna make much of a difference, (they’re only averaging 14% of total) but I could be wrong


(@VANDAL, here’s that discussion thread)
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Robby I think it would be better to adjust unit overcrowding in places that have become super inundated not lower tags or even get rid of the second tag just spread the hunters out a little. I think Idaho should also open a few more otc late season bow hunts or a couple trad bow hunts. They cater to riflw draws and opportunity way to much in my opinion.

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