I think if folks were truly “pushing themselves” the yardage doesn’t necessarily “matter” to an extent. Obviously the further back you go the more the wind/bullet/shooter variables have potential to change outcomes, but in general “long range” is not necessarily what makes us “miss”.
You take the average or even “skilled rifleman” type of hunter out and get them off their “range” or flat prairie/farm field, and put up targets at various yardages that blend into terrain like an animal; and give them time, say 2 minutes “before the animal moves off” to simulate some adrenaline…
It is truly shocking (to the point where nearly all folks call BS until they see it/shoot it) how much someone’s actual kill shot “MER” and first round impact rates drop off dramatically. Or the amount of folks who simply do not get a shot off in the allotted time at all. It’s not to say that “all hunting shots” are rushed or should be, but it’s a great way to simulate “let’s get this animal killed” and put some pressure on the shooter to simulate felt conditions when killing. THEN you bring in factors like distance/wind/guns that aren’t zeroed/forgot to dial, the list goes on, all compounding to work against the shooter being effective.
If I had to put an honest “yardage number” for the average “avid” shooter/hunter going into unknown terrain with elevation change/wind conditions; in seeing what I have with hundreds of shooters between guiding, instructing, etc. for the last couple decades, 200 yards and in is a “realistic” first round kill shot distance.
In saying that, in the dozens of Rokslide members I’ve met in person and shot with, this is a group of folks that is generally well above average. There is zero replacement for getting in shooting reps in hunting type terrain and it’s clear that this site has a high concentration of what I would consider “very good to elite” hunting shot shooters. Not that it really even matters “what I consider” anyway just a personal observation.