Wyoming Elk 2026 - Will 6 points guarantee a west region general tag?

Joined
Jun 10, 2024
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2
Location
North Dakota
Looking at applying for a Wyoming west region general elk tag in 2026. I have 6 points. In 2025, 6 points guaranteed this tag and 5 points gave you roughly 45% draw odds. Do we think 6 points will guarantee the tag again in 2026 or will point creep change this?
 
It didn’t take 6 last year. It just took more than 5. You would have been 100% with 5.1 points. 6 will get you a tag this year.
 
The odds for last year were 100% at 6 points. 5 points was 50%.
 
Looking at the data...

In 2024, 4+ was about 50%
In 2025, 5 was about 50%

In 2026, it seems logical to hope that 5+ will be 50%

You cant guarantee that 6 will be 100%. But it should at least be pretty high odds. It doesn't seem worth another $1,250 to me.
 
I have same dilemma, I have 5 points. Trying to decide if general w would have a good chance. Special is steep but looking like it’s probably the way to guarantee!
 
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