- Thread Starter
- #2,001
*zap*
WKR
What??????
I really think we‘re gonna be alright, some won’t, some will be bankrupt but I think over all we’ll be ok, if we can get things slowed down, especially if treatments prove to be successful surely we’ll be rolling again sooner than expected, i had This conversation with one of my bankers last night, basically what I just told you, he says if they want to survive they will have to work with most that are in good standings, those that aren’t may be in trouble.My Math says, unfortunately, we will all be bankrupt before this is over, corona only lasts for a couple of months. a Bankrupt country and severe depression could last for several years. I am willing to take my chances and stay working. If this becomes the new norm to every flu outbreak we have in the future, we don't have a chance. Welcome to Bernie land.
what are your thoughts on china's infection rate and current situation? I understand the steps they took, but now back to business as usual..... shouldn't they being getting another huge infection that doesn't seem to be happening?Some sobering numbers:
7.7 billion total global population
If infection rates for total population in the next year are kept to 5%, total number of infected is:
7,700,000,000 * .05 = 385,000,000 infected
If you take a low death rate of 1% and apply to the above numbers, you get:
385,000,000 * .01 = 3,850,000 dead in the next year
If you take the current estimated death rate of 4.3% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
385,000,000 * .043 = 16,555,000 dead in the next year
If you take Italy’s current death rate of over 8% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
385,000,000 * .08 = 30,800,000 dead in the next year
If global infection rates are allowed to reach 40%, the total number of infected is:
7,700,000,000 * .4 = 3,080,000,000 infected
If you take a low death rate of 1% and apply to the above numbers, you get:
3,080,000,000 * .01 = 30,800,000 dead in the next year
If you take the current estimated death rate of 4.3% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
3,080,000,000 * .043 = 132,440,000 dead in the next year
If you take Italy’s current death rate of over 8% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
3,080,000,000 * .08 = 246,400,000 dead in the next year
Several sources are claiming that Global infection rates could hit 70% or higher over the next year, even with moderate social distancing. That works out to:
7,700,000,000 * .7 = 5,390,000,000 infected in the next year
If you take a low death rate of 1% and apply to the above numbers, you get:
5,390,000,000 * .01 = 53,900,00 dead in the next year
If you take the current updated estimated death rate of 4.3% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
5,390,000,000 * .043 = 231,770,000 dead in the next year
If you take Italy’s current death rate of over 8% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
5,390,000,000 * .08 = 431,200,000 dead in the next year
If global infection rates double every 5 days(this is what we are currently tracking on), then we reach the 5% infected rate in under 60 days from today:
375,000 3/23
* 2 3/28
* 2 4/2
* 2 4/7
* 2 4/12
* 2 4/17
* 2 4/22
* 2 4/28
* 2 5/3
* 2 5/8
* 2 = 384,000,000 on or about 5/13
Math says that we need to take drastic measures while we still can.
What most worries me is that this is unprecedented so no one knows what to expect....the 'new norm' bar gets raised each day.
same here for the most part..... today hanging out at home, I realized I was more of a prepper than I realized... I have 6 "emotional support dogs" 2 aussies and 4 schipperkes, which are the coolest dog breed there is.I do not want to work with a bank......I do not want to go into debt.....my bank is always after me to borrow, I tell em no thanks.
I have to be in a dire situation to go to the doctor, even our local nurse practitioner.... there are a whole bunch of places i'd rather be.... I hate hospitals, and can't imagine going unless there is a real issueIt sounds insane to most people but limiting the number of times a person can check into the Emergency Room would save billions. We see the same people over and over again . I would not be surprised if we have at least 100 pts that visit the ER here at least once every 2 weeks throughoutthe year. If these folks had real health issues it would be a different situation but no.
Some sobering numbers:
7.7 billion total global population
If infection rates for total population in the next year are kept to 5%, total number of infected is:
7,700,000,000 * .05 = 385,000,000 infected
If you take a low death rate of 1% and apply to the above numbers, you get:
385,000,000 * .01 = 3,850,000 dead in the next year
If you take the current estimated death rate of 4.3% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
385,000,000 * .043 = 16,555,000 dead in the next year
If you take Italy’s current death rate of over 8% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
385,000,000 * .08 = 30,800,000 dead in the next year
If global infection rates are allowed to reach 40%, the total number of infected is:
7,700,000,000 * .4 = 3,080,000,000 infected
If you take a low death rate of 1% and apply to the above numbers, you get:
3,080,000,000 * .01 = 30,800,000 dead in the next year
If you take the current estimated death rate of 4.3% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
3,080,000,000 * .043 = 132,440,000 dead in the next year
If you take Italy’s current death rate of over 8% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
3,080,000,000 * .08 = 246,400,000 dead in the next year
Several sources are claiming that Global infection rates could hit 70% or higher over the next year, even with moderate social distancing. That works out to:
7,700,000,000 * .7 = 5,390,000,000 infected in the next year
If you take a low death rate of 1% and apply to the above numbers, you get:
5,390,000,000 * .01 = 53,900,00 dead in the next year
If you take the current updated estimated death rate of 4.3% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
5,390,000,000 * .043 = 231,770,000 dead in the next year
If you take Italy’s current death rate of over 8% and apply it to the above numbers, you get:
5,390,000,000 * .08 = 431,200,000 dead in the next year
If global infection rates double every 5 days(this is what we are currently tracking on), then we reach the 5% infected rate in under 60 days from today:
375,000 3/23
* 2 3/28
* 2 4/2
* 2 4/7
* 2 4/12
* 2 4/17
* 2 4/22
* 2 4/28
* 2 5/3
* 2 5/8
* 2 = 384,000,000 on or about 5/13
Math says that we need to take drastic measures while we still can.
I have to be in a dire situation to go to the doctor, even our local nurse practitioner.... there are a whole bunch of places i'd rather be.... I hate hospitals, and can't imagine going unless there is a real issue
I have to be in a dire situation to go to the doctor, even our local nurse practitioner.... there are a whole bunch of places i'd rather be.... I hate hospitals, and can't imagine going unless there is a real issue
yeah, I think the last time I went to the dentist was 20ish yrs ago, and just a year and a half ago I kicked a 16 year chewing habit of mostly over a can a day... I probably need to go in, but likely won't until it's more urgentSame here and I hate going to the dentist's office almost as bad!
Around 600, 000 died ( all ages not just the elderly) from the H1N1 virus in 2009 and and over 60,000,000 Americans contracted the disease. Very little panic while the POTUS played golf and kept our borders open
interesting to compare to our current situation.