The Rokslide Stock Traders Thread

[ScottRK]

Hope their battery storage units perform better than the electric cars they built.

The YouTube mechanic Scotty Kilmer had a good review on the hybrid F-150 that I saw the other day. 3.5L
Said they took a page from Toyota’s book. He has a over 6 M subscribers

IONQ up again this week.

 

[Coveyleader]

Anyone want to take a stab at the “Why” we’re seeing AMD which was way behind NVDIA simply explode, meanwhile NVDIA has been a drag? AMD is now pretty much double of what NVDIA is priced at, and N was the golden child? Same business.

 

[Shadow Illude]

Dumped Ford up 82%. Looking at CLX and hoping to be patient and repeat a performance similar to Ford.

 

[Fowl Play]

Anyone want to take a stab at the “Why” we’re seeing AMD which was way behind NVDIA simply explode, meanwhile NVDIA has been a drag? AMD is now pretty much double of what NVDIA is priced at, and N was the golden child? Same business.

Don’t mistake stock price for market cap. NVDA is still worth much more than AMD, they just have many more shares, so the stock price is cheaper. AMD was a loser for years but has recently rebound due to more focus on data centers and investors liking that. I would not call either of these stocks “a drag” as they are both outperforming the market quite a bit. Once you get to the size of Nvidia it becomes much harder for the company to grow exponentially as their value is just so high. I mean Nvidia market cap is almost 1/5 of the entire United States GDP. Expecting them to double value at that price is wild.

 

[Beendare]

Don’t mistake stock price for market cap. NVDA is still worth much more than AMD, they just have many more shares, so the stock price is cheaper. AMD was a loser for years but has recently rebound due to more focus on data centers and investors liking that. I would not call either of these stocks “a drag” as they are both outperforming the market quite a bit. Once you get to the size of Nvidia it becomes much harder for the company to grow exponentially as their value is just so high. I mean Nvidia market cap is almost 1/5 of the entire United States GDP. Expecting them to double value at that price is wild.

I think you nailed it. NVDA has grown so big who doesn't already own it?

Market cap; NVDA $5.1T, AMD $841B
Even though the valuation metrics still favor NVDA.

I don't know what the catalyst will be that will make NVDA pop. It's already cheap vs their growth rate. FWIW, I bought more NVDA for a trade earlier this week just under $210. I don't expect the same rate of return on this latest buy vs the stuff I bought awhile ago but I could see it hitting $300.

 

[Svivian]

Wowza anyone get in on this? Appears to be a pump and dump situation

 

[Fowl Play]

Wowza anyone get in on this? Appears to be a pump and dump situation

View attachment 1073600

I literally think this is happening because people are posturing for retail investors mistakingly buying SPCE for SPCX (SpaceX) at the IPO. So yes likely a pump and dump.

 

[Svivian]

I literally think this is happening because people are posturing for retail investors mistakingly buying SPCE for SPCX (SpaceX) at the IPO. So yes likely a pump and dump.

You’re 100% correct. I forgot about that

 

[Beendare]

Meaningful commentary on how stretched the semiconductor industry is, from Zero Hedge,

Parabolic Semiconductor Rally: What Breaks The Trade?​

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

HERE

One excerpt;
The sector we want to focus on today is the parabolic semiconductor sector, for which we will use the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), which closed Friday at $598, putting it 168% above its 50-month moving average. That is the most extreme deviation from trend in any major sector ETF on record. The setup is unique, and the asymmetry has turned against holders. Here’s why semis could break first, and how to position accordingly.

The standard measures of stretched are useful, but they understate what’s happening in semiconductors. Bank of America’s technical desk flagged the SMH weekly RSI above 80 for two consecutive weeks, an all-time high reading and only the fifth such instance since 2012. The fund trades roughly 150% above its 200-week moving average, exceeding the prior peaks of 100% to 108% set in 2021 and 2024. Both of those readings preceded drawdowns of more than 30%.

It might be time for me to Hedge my Semi holdings......

 

[rob86jeep]

I literally think this is happening because people are posturing for retail investors mistakingly buying SPCE for SPCX (SpaceX) at the IPO. So yes likely a pump and dump.

I think it's a few catalysts happening at the same time.

1st - The SpaceX IPO has pumped most space stocks up.
2nd - Virgin Galactic just announced they were selling tickets for $750k again.
3rd - The potential for the SPCE ticker to be confused with SPCX.

 

[HuntHarder]

NBIS having a good start to the day. Lets hope it continues.

 

[Silver Wings]

Meaningful commentary on how stretched the semiconductor industry is, from Zero Hedge,

Parabolic Semiconductor Rally: What Breaks The Trade?​

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

HERE

One excerpt;
The sector we want to focus on today is the parabolic semiconductor sector, for which we will use the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), which closed Friday at $598, putting it 168% above its 50-month moving average. That is the most extreme deviation from trend in any major sector ETF on record. The setup is unique, and the asymmetry has turned against holders. Here’s why semis could break first, and how to position accordingly.

The standard measures of stretched are useful, but they understate what’s happening in semiconductors. Bank of America’s technical desk flagged the SMH weekly RSI above 80 for two consecutive weeks, an all-time high reading and only the fifth such instance since 2012. The fund trades roughly 150% above its 200-week moving average, exceeding the prior peaks of 100% to 108% set in 2021 and 2024. Both of those readings preceded drawdowns of more than 30%.

It might be time for me to Hedge my Semi holdings......

Thank for sharing. I’ll read when I get a chance, seems like a no brainer that semies are grossly overpriced…but what do I know.

 

[Beendare]

Thank for sharing. I’ll read when I get a chance, seems like a no brainer that semies are grossly overpriced…but what do I know.

Yeah, but on the flip side these rallies can go on a lot longer than one would think. I've seen short sellers lose their Azzes trying to predict the top.

Case in point, a bunch of my semi stuff is up over 4% today. I doubt this outperformance will continue for another 2 years...but another 6 months? Who knows?

 

[2531usmc]

Looks like Berkshire Hathaway is going to dump $10B into Alphabet.

AI winners being sorted out…..