The Rokslide Stock Traders Thread

[BBob]

how do you put a pe ratio or fair market value on something like this?

You don’t or can’t for something that is 3 days old. It is pure speculation at this point.

 

[Beendare]

You don’t or can’t for something that is 3 days old. It is pure speculation at this point.

Exactly, and my son knows how I am with stuff like that. He does have some super sharp finance buddies in the private finance industry that may have given him some insight into this...or it could have been Reddit- I never know with him. FWIW, I do know most of his money is in VOO, high div ETF's and tech sector ETF's.

In a family text chain my daughter thinks DataBricks is supposed to go public soon so that could be the catalyst on this.

It would have been nice to own it last week...but the question is always should we buy it now up over 700%? I have no idea but I would rather own this over Bitcoin.

 

[cardiac5]

Exactly, and my son knows how I am with stuff like that. He does have some super sharp finance buddies in the private finance industry that may have given him some insight into this...or it could have been Reddit- I never know with him. FWIW, I do know most of his money is in VOO, high div ETF's and tech sector ETF's.

In a family text chain my daughter thinks DataBricks is supposed to go public soon so that could be the catalyst on this.

It would have been nice to own it last week...but the question is always should we buy it now up over 700%? I have no idea but I would rather own this over Bitcoin.

I passed on it yesterday when I heard about it and saw it was up almost 60% for the day. Good for him buying it! Also wasn’t stoked on the 2% management fee.


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[eddielasvegas]

how do you put a pe ratio or fair market value on something like this?

You don't. It's all about momentum and timing it right.


Eddie

 

[MountainTracker]

SpaceX IPO incoming. Word is up to 20% will go retail investors.


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[bozeman]

I am waiting on this to see how it goes.......thinking some serious upside, but risk is also quite high.

 

[2531usmc]

I am waiting on this to see how it goes.......thinking some serious upside, but risk is also quite high.

Hard to bet against Musk…..

 

[Theringworm]

Oh man, I had forgotten about that one finally. Then you show up just to remind me. Going to be back to crying myself to sleep again.

*sarcasm

I am still holding PR/CDEV BROOMD!

 

[eamyrick]

SpaceX IPO incoming. Word is up to 20% will go retail investors.


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This is what I came here to learn about. I’m in Austin so Musk and Tesla are in my backyard. The speed and scale of the Tesla factory build was impressive. I haven’t bet a single stock in my life but have 5k in my hunting fund that might go to Space X. I just don’t see how it could lose.

 

[Bucky]

Agree, if spacex goes public I’ll put money in it just because it is musk. The guy never gives up and finds a way when everyone else cant.

 

[Beendare]

I'm seeing my son Friday- he has been out of town on an extended business trip so I hate to bug him.
Knock on wood.....He has become a super savvy investor and spends some time on it.

I'm wondering if it's worth looking at SoftBank as a sympathetic trade. SFTBY which was up a measly 13% today and is somewhat like the ETF he bought. I will ask him what he thinks.

FWIW all of this is pretty risky for me...but I figure someone here might be interested.

I think @BBob nailed it in his comment, some of this stuff is very speculative and impossible to value. These things can go on a tear with no rhyme or reason....so guys like myself looking for the reason get left in the dust.

 

[bozeman]

Share what you can @Beendare I like the reading, insight. Risk, yes, that is assumed. I like the diff angles/perspectives on this thread.

 

[mighteywhitehunter]

What it the trigger point you use to decide when to sell?

I am considering selling my small position in PR since it is over 100% total return.

 

[ODB]

it’s gotten to where I keep up with the news by watching my stock page. All Red = bad news day, All Green = good news day. Mixed= average news day.

 

[LFC911]

Does anyone here use AI to invest and have an app they recommend?

 

[Beendare]

Share what you can @Beendare I like the reading, insight. Risk, yes, that is assumed. I like the diff angles/perspectives on this thread.

Will do. Risk....ugh yeah, VCX is down 31% today....a third of your money-gone.

Now I'm regretting even mentioning this pie in the sky AI startup. I hope nobody did a knee jerk buy without investigating. Its a very risky proposition. Hopefully everyone sees that sure you can get lucky...but it's just as easy to lose your ass too.

 

[MountainTracker]

Will do. Risk....ugh yeah, VCX is down 31% today....a third of your money-gone.

Now I'm regretting even mentioning this pie in the sky AI startup. I hope nobody did a knee jerk buy without investigating. Its a very risky proposition. Hopefully everyone sees that sure you can get lucky...but it's just as easy to lose your ass too.

SoftBank invested $30B into OpenAi back in Feb. Amazon and NVDA did as well at the same time.


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[Broomd]

I am still holding PR/CDEV BROOMD!

Awesome!! You're killin' it!!

 

[BBob]

Will do. Risk....ugh yeah, VCX is down 31% today....a third of your money-gone.

Now I'm regretting even mentioning this pie in the sky AI startup. I hope nobody did a knee jerk buy without investigating. Its a very risky proposition. Hopefully everyone sees that sure you can get lucky...but it's just as easy to lose your ass too.

It's stuff like this that you just cannot predict. Same goes for some of the past IPO's. They're heavily manipulated. If that's your thing and you cover yourself with stops and such so you can get in/get out, go for it as one can make some $$$ in short order but you can lose just as quick.


12:13 PM EDT, March 26, 2026 (Benzinga Newswire)

The Fundrise Innovation Fund, LLC (NYSE:VCX) saw its shares collapse Thursday. The stock fell 49.21% following a series of critical posts from activist short seller Andrew Left’s Citron Research.

Citron Research said on X, that it is short VCX, arguing the stock’s valuation is disconnected from its underlying assets, adding, “Simple math.”

The report compared the situation to Destiny Tech100 Inc. (NYSE:DXYZ). Citron noted that DXYZ saw its 1,400% premium collapse despite its underlying portfolio performing well. Left warned that “gravity is not a theory” regarding the current VCX valuation.

The short report also focused on the fund’s sponsor, Fundrise Advisors LLC. Citron cited a 2023 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) settlement where the firm paid $250,000.

The SEC found Fundrise “willfully” violated securities laws by paying over 200 influencers to promote products without disclosure.

Citron raised questions about the fund’s current marketing. The firm pointed to a “0.42%” marketing expense in the prospectus.

This totals roughly $3 million annually. Citron asked the SEC to investigate if these funds are paying for current undisclosed promotions.

The Fundrise Innovation Fund holds stakes in private unicorns, according to its website. Its top holdings include Anthropic at 20.7% and Databricks at 17.7%. It also holds OpenAI and SpaceX.

On Monday, VCX announced an investment in Erebor Bank. Founded by Palmer Luckey, Erebor is a chartered national bank serving tech startups. It aims to fill the gap left by Silicon Valley Bank.

Citron warned of future selling pressure for the retail-heavy fund. The firm noted that 100,000 investors are currently locked up. These shareholders cannot sell until September.

“When that lockup expires, they will all be looking at the same exit at the same time,” Citron stated in the report.

VCX Stock Price Activity: Fundrise Innovation Fund shares were down 49.21% at $193 at the time of publication on Thursday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

 

[Ckat]

What it the trigger point you use to decide when to sell?

I am considering selling my small position in PR since it is over 100% total return.

Everyone has their opinions. Me, personally, if I don’t feel comfortable that the gains price is going to be the “new normal”, I will sell part or all of the position. It’s guaranteed profit, but might not take full advantage of the upswing. You can sell enough to recoup your initial investment, then let the rest ride… or sell it all, double your money, and re-invest. Assuming that you bought in around 2023-ish since you are currently over 100%? You’ve held it long enough to not pay your normal income tax (short-term gains), so that helps… but taxes should still be part of the equation in your decision.