The Rokslide Stock Traders Thread

[NDGuy]

Grabbing INTC

Intel (INTC) – Intel has been expanding its foundry business, particularly in the U.S. and Europe. A disruption to TSMC could accelerate its position as a key supplier.

Good news, holding INTC for a long time

https://twitter.com/x/status/1899773362076819734

 

[Andrew12gauge]

This is simply just not true.

You should also know that target date fund composition will vary widely depending on the time horizon. Throwing out “they average 4-6%” wouldn’t even be an applicable way to discuss their returns. A 2030 fund compared to a 2070 fund is vastly different.

Maybe it’s just been the 401k administrators I’ve dealt with, but I don’t think I’ve ever seen a target date fund doing better than 6%, glad to hear some of them do better but I am not gonna park my money in a subpar asset just because it’s “safe”


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[NDGuy]

Nice pump off CPI now fading to gap fill yesterday's lows. If we hit 552 on SPY I will load the boat again.

 

[Danny Hoey]

Maybe it’s just been the 401k administrators I’ve dealt with, but I don’t think I’ve ever seen a target date fund doing better than 6%, glad to hear some of them do better but I am not gonna park my money in a subpar asset just because it’s “safe”


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My "safe" money goes into ARCC.

 

[TaperPin]

unrelated political posts removed

Tesla made a predictable jump after getting the well publicized presidential endorsement - things almost always get a bump from his well orchestrated announcements and endorsements. Every financial news reporting entity ran photos on this story - hardly political. $233 to $247 is an easy 6% one day bump.

For guys who didn’t know about it, or don’t see how predictable these opportunities are they missed out.

 

[D S 319]

Tesla made a predictable jump after getting the well publicized presidential endorsement - things almost always get a bump from his well orchestrated announcements and endorsements. Every financial news reporting entity ran photos on this story - hardly political. $233 to $247 is an easy 6% one day bump.

For guys who didn’t know about it, or don’t see how predictable these opportunities are they missed out.

Couldn’t have been that inflation came in lower than expected.

 

[TaperPin]

Couldn’t have been that inflation came in lower than expected.

CPI 2.8% (annual rate) vs 3% expectation? That’s good news. Sort of.

 

[BBob]

So we saw a ton of green across the board because one company got an executive endorsement not because inflation took a positive turn. Right!!! Not that it didn't help that company but it wasn't the only reason for today. I'll add another little anecdote: Most all that turned today bounced off support so there was that as well. AAPL didn't get the memo and isn't sitting so pretty at the moment

 

[mostlybirch]

Green looks pretty concentrated in a few tech companies. News suggests large buyers bought the dip in the recent big tech lows.

 

[Andrew12gauge]

So we saw a ton of green across the board because one company got an executive endorsement not because inflation took a positive turn. Right!!! Not that it didn't help that company but it wasn't the only reason for today. I'll add another little anecdote: Most all that turned today bounced off support so there was that as well. AAPL didn't get the memo and isn't sitting so pretty at the moment
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AAPL seems to be the one stock that is always an outlier right now, market turns red, they go green, market turns green they go red. I can’t make sense of it


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[NDGuy]

I’m watching AMD for a swing soon, she’s been beat up a ton. Targeting mid 90s for entry 80s even better.

 

[BBob]

Green looks pretty concentrated in a few tech companies. News suggests large buyers bought the dip in the recent big tech lows.

Big volume the last couple of days putting the brakes on the slide.

 

[Poser]

I don't see anyway in which Tesla is not completely cooked. If you were to toss out factors such as expired EV credits and the sudden decline in international sales (not to mention the reputation of the brand itself which is probably not coming back from recent events), how expensive it is the insure a Tesla in the US (not often mentioned), the failed self driving initiative, the existing 37 recalls on the model recently showcased at the white house, etc, you might still consider that Musk has a unknown amount but reported "significant" amount of Tesla shares leveraged as collateral. He borrowed about 13 billion to buy X. If the Tesla stock prices go low enough, the banks could force Musk to sell his shares. Seeing that Musk owns 12.8 percent of the company stake, depending on how many shares Musk were forced to sale to cover his personal loans, could be the nail in the coffin for this company. And that is in addition to the general climate of overvaluation of Tesla stock.

Of course, that could just lead to a short term windfall for Tesla and it could be the case that the company being seperated from Musk may benefit the company long term, IF there is even a long term. Practically speaking, a certain percentage of Americans with a certain political persuasion aren't going to buy more Teslas anytime soon to any significant extent. Practically speaking, other Americans of a certain political persuasion have not purchased Teslas or any other EVs in the past to any significant extent. In some sense, the consumer group who could "save" Tesla would have to change their minds on EVs, be willing to suck up high insurance costs and potentially risk vandalism all out of a philosophical imperative to drive a vehicle that they, so far, have made clear that they have no intention of driving.

I'm sure there are some folks who will make money of the current climate of Tesla. I dumped my Tesla stock back in January out of philosophical imperative at a 58% profit and won't ever buy it again. That's me, that's my perspective. You do you.

 

[Beendare]

Big volume the last couple of days putting the brakes on the slide.

Good info^

I bought some more stuff. I'm slowly going back up to fully invested. I bought more META, MLPX, GS, TSM, AMZN.

Historically it's a good time to buy at 10% down....though I do think GDP wise we will be slogging along for close to a year- we have to with all of the moving towards efficiency/merit based policy....the short term layoffs will be a short term drag. Thus I'm cherry picking stocks and not doing my usual index buying.

 

[NDGuy]

Good info^

I bought some more stuff. I'm slowly going back up to fully invested. I bought more META, MLPX, GS, TSM, AMZN.

Historically it's a good time to buy at 10% down....though I do think GDP wise we will be slogging along for close to a year- we have to with all of the moving towards efficiency/merit based policy....the short term layoffs will be a short term drag. Thus I'm cherry picking stocks and not doing my usual index buying.

Yep good time for it IMO, let things settle for indexes and grab the really oversold names in the meantime for swings.