Stock market opportunities

TaperPin

WKR
Joined
Jul 12, 2023
Messages
6,317
An acquaintance retired at 40 after making a killing day trading and he’s seeing the volatility in the market as a huge opportunity. Computer models have taken much of the profit potential away from day traders, but the rash of daily announcements seems to be providing all sorts of semi predictable movements in the market. Which funds are the quickest to take advantage of volatility like this?

I’m rather dumb and invest at recession bottoms like Warren Buffet - he’s cash rich right now, so I’m saving as much as possible to get cash levels up until he goes all in again. Lol
 
If only there wasnt a 644 page, 5 year long thread discussing this exact same topic.
 
Gave myself mental whiplash today following the S&P. Started out terribly, turned briefly positive about an hour before closing, then plunged again, but higher than session low earlier.
 
The problem with timing position trades is that the smartest guys in the world have a hard time doing it.

Can you make money buying TSM, GS or F right now- I think so....but they might drop even more with the tariff stuff ratcheting up- which is my bet. I have some of those positions on and dry powder to buy more of those 3 and a few more as part of a DCA strategy. I'm watching for a huge volume down day to support levels.

BTW, I was watching the VIX....yeah it's up there but does quite seem at capitulation stage....I bet there will be more selling.

speaking of Buffet, He has a pile of cash right now....and refuses to buy back shares. So he must think those are expensive. He doesn't do special dividends like I wish he would. So he is stuck underperforming a little with all of that cash. He should have bought the Panama Canal instead of Blackrock.
 
If you want to gamble.... crypto is what is seeing the largest swings up and down right now...
 
. So he is stuck underperforming a little with all of that cash. He should have bought the Panama Canal instead of Blackrock.
The last 12 months shows 23% return - that beat the S&P by a decent amount.IMG_0379.jpeg
 
There are always outliers, but the biggest mistake I see clients/investors make is getting in their own way. They think this is coming, they think that is coming, struggle with decisions. Save as much as you can, as early as you can and keep it simple. You will be a successful investor over time.


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Is he going to try to take advantage of the opportunity, and if so, how?

What sort of semi predictable movements?

If they are semi predictable, why pay someone to take advantage of them?

Warren Buffett is quite a paradox. He preaches to invest in the S&P 500 (sage advice IMHO), but also takes mega bets on single companies. *harumph*
Buffet/Berkshire is a value investor. He pays a ton of people to scrutinize company financials in great detail to determine what their "true" value should be. He then only buys companies when the unpredictable market undervalues it. He sells when the market overvalues it.

His dollar cost average into the S&P500 advice is for us common folk who don't have a roomful of finance majors valuing single companies or the diligence to buy and sell without emotion.
 
If he made so much money that he retired by 40 why would you not trust him and only look at funds?

Read post 17. Specifically the first sentence.
I totally agree on investing in ways that make long term sense, our normal investing is that.. What I’m talking about is separate from that - this is more like fun money.

He was a super intense coked up day trader weirdo. Those skills don’t necessarily transfer, or if they do I wouldn’t trust him with my money today. He’s an acquaintance, not my brother in law.

I think I’ve found a like minded guy who will take me under his wing.
 
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