Oil and Gas Leasing

Mish-pop

Lil-Rokslider
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Apr 19, 2023
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Anybody see this info today. Or is this old news and slight update?
Pretty new. Didn’t see it until yesterday. I’m concerned but not sure there is much that can be done, currently.
 
I’m in oil and gas.

Some things come to mind.

Oil prices are tanking thanks partially to this goat rodeo the last week. Seriously we are getting awfully close to the B/E point to where operators will be like F it, why drill for minimal profit with considerable risk. Drill baby drill is idiocy and money sets the agenda not fantasy. I can assure you that nobody is getting a chubby to drill more wells at these price points. And increasing supply will only drive prices down more.

Not considering environmental concerns is about stupid as it gets. We all drink the water that runs off these lands and eat the animals that graze on these lands. Plus, is it really that important to drive oil prices down that you want to see and hear rigs and tanker trucks while you are out hunting. Idiot neighbor let an operator put a compressor station on his property. Now I have to listen to the fans run all night long while I’m camping at deer camp.
 
Conrad makes very good points we need not forget.

Oil/gas would be cheap if they’d just stop devaluing the dollar every second of every day with freeeeeeee moneyyyyyyy.

There’s always pressure to keep oil/gas cheap to suppress and hide what’s really going on in the world.


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Three years from now I’m not sure we won’t see the lowest operational costs we have ever seen. So price won’t matter. Only one thing that slows drilling in the U.S. is costs associated with regulations.

There is a happy medium over safety and cost, we are still to the far left where it’s been very over regulated to force the limit of production
 
I’m not sure why anybody thinks production is limited.


View attachment 866392View attachment 866391

Top chart is coming from 2018/2019 leases and $70 oil. With that said Biden outpaced Trump in last few years on federal leases. Not sure most of those are operational yet.

Only 25% of oil production comes from public/federal and only 10% of natural gas comes from public/federal.

Oil has basically stayed @ $70+- last four years. US production will drop with OPEC increasing flow later this year, will see US production get turned down, unless EPA oversight costs are cut.

It’s all about price of production.

So yes production is high but its based of $70 oil, now what would it look like if cost per barrel where 30’s and price was $70? Offshore shelf is where federal leases should expand IMO
 
Ok, just for the sake of a broad discussion.

What % of an AFE on a typical horizontal well is allocated to environmental compliance??

Is that amount unreasonable?

Should operators have to do site remediation after they plug a well and return the land to its pristine original state or would you prefer to see thousands of old pads in your public lands covered with rusting tank batteries?

Should they even be forced to plug a well after they abandon it? Why not just abandon it outright when it’s not breaking even.

Should they be forced to clean up salt water spills?

Should they be monitored to make sure they don’t poison the downstream water supply?

Should BP have been held financially responsible for the deep water horizon spill, after it impacted not only the fisheries, but the restaurants, hotels, and other businesses?

Should the drillers be allowed to just dump their fracking water or salt water, out on the roads to and from the wells?

Should operators be allowed to run thousands of miles of roads across pristine lands as they see fit?

Should operators be required to even have mufflers on their equipment or noise and light abatement on their rigs?

Yes, there are rules to being in any type of business. Some people think that having to comply with any environmental or safety concerns is horribly burdensome. But do we want to live in a society akin to an Upton Sinclair novel where the robber barons and corporations do what they want without oversight or accountability?

I used to buy, overhaul, and sell CF6 jumbo jet engines. You should have seen the regulatory compliance hoops we jumped through. Parts were tracked by hour and some critical parts were cycle tracked (1flight). Paperwork red tape and borescoping were constant. Maintenance schedules were always followed. And you know what, when I flew with my family on vacation it made me feel a whole lot better that I knew all the engines were being properly maintained in accordance with those pesky and burdensome rules.

Like I said, we were drilling plenty of wells at $70 per barrel. In fact we were a net exporter of the oil. I see no reason to lower standards.

Last point, inflation adjusted prices for decades have shown gas prices to run about $4.10 - $4.20 year in and year out. I think gas is running around $3.25 right now so exactly how is the consumer getting a raw deal??
 
Ok, just for the sake of a broad discussion.

What % of an AFE on a typical horizontal well is allocated to environmental compliance??

Is that amount unreasonable?

Should operators have to do site remediation after they plug a well and return the land to its pristine original state or would you prefer to see thousands of old pads in your public lands covered with rusting tank batteries?

Should they even be forced to plug a well after they abandon it? Why not just abandon it outright when it’s not breaking even.

Should they be forced to clean up salt water spills?

Should they be monitored to make sure they don’t poison the downstream water supply?

Should BP have been held financially responsible for the deep water horizon spill, after it impacted not only the fisheries, but the restaurants, hotels, and other businesses?

Should the drillers be allowed to just dump their fracking water or salt water, out on the roads to and from the wells?

Should operators be allowed to run thousands of miles of roads across pristine lands as they see fit?

Should operators be required to even have mufflers on their equipment or noise and light abatement on their rigs?

Yes, there are rules to being in any type of business. Some people think that having to comply with any environmental or safety concerns is horribly burdensome. But do we want to live in a society akin to an Upton Sinclair novel where the robber barons and corporations do what they want without oversight or accountability?

I used to buy, overhaul, and sell CF6 jumbo jet engines. You should have seen the regulatory compliance hoops we jumped through. Parts were tracked by hour and some critical parts were cycle tracked (1flight). Paperwork red tape and borescoping were constant. Maintenance schedules were always followed. And you know what, when I flew with my family on vacation it made me feel a whole lot better that I knew all the engines were being properly maintained in accordance with those pesky and burdensome rules.

Like I said, we were drilling plenty of wells at $70 per barrel. In fact we were a net exporter of the oil. I see no reason to lower standards.

Last point, inflation adjusted prices for decades have shown gas prices to run about $4.10 - $4.20 year in and year out. I think gas is running around $3.25 right now so exactly how is the consumer getting a raw deal??
The amount of yes’s I would put in these would make your head explode🤣

Methane’s a good start
 
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