New GoHunt Predictive Odds

Joined
Jan 22, 2017
Messages
1,039
Location
Santa Fe, NM
Looked around at the new predictive odds for Colorado. Really surprised me on the prediction for my go to deer unit, they’re touting 95% confidence levels which is a bold claim! Very interested to see the odds report for next year and look back at accuracy.
 

svivian

WKR
Joined
Mar 16, 2016
Messages
3,365
Location
Colorado
Looked around at the new predictive odds for Colorado. Really surprised me on the prediction for my go to deer unit, they’re touting 95% confidence levels which is a bold claim! Very interested to see the odds report for next year and look back at accuracy.
I’m surprised it’s taken this long. They have been off for a few years because they never accounted for point creep.

They should have enough years of data now to be accurate on predicting point creep.
 
OP
thegoosano
Joined
Jan 22, 2017
Messages
1,039
Location
Santa Fe, NM
I’m surprised it’s taken this long. They have been off for a few years because they never accounted for point creep.

They should have enough years of data now to be accurate on predicting point creep.

They’ve never shown future odds in the past, just the last 5yrs odds. This is the first time they’ve listed what to expect for a future draw based on historical data and I’m sure bunch of other black magic formula secret sauce. Pretty impressive to see a company take this leap, never seen a future odd predictor before.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

NealS02

Lil-Rokslider
Joined
Dec 22, 2022
Messages
108
I’ve had a chance to play around with it a little bit and find it very interesting. There was a unit I thought was going to be more heavily impacted by point creep this year (which it still could) and it predicts I have 100% chance. Another unit I felt I may be able to draw was low odds. I’m with you guys and surprised nobody has done it sooner, but as usual GoHunt continues to impress me.
 

cnelk

WKR
Joined
Mar 1, 2012
Messages
7,802
Location
Colorado
You want predictive data?

Check out the Death Clock.
Then you’ll know how many hunts you have left.

 

IDVortex

WKR
Joined
Jan 16, 2024
Messages
1,485
Location
CDA Idaho
You want predictive data?

Check out the Death Clock.
Then you’ll know how many hunts you have left.

And I was hoping of going by the age of 40, but I'm still stuck until I'm 81. Damn.
 

wapitibob

WKR
Joined
Feb 24, 2012
Messages
6,194
Location
Bend Oregon
You want predictive data?

Check out the Death Clock.
Then you’ll know how many hunts you have left.


"You will live to be 94 years, 9 months and 6 days old!"

Hot Damn! I'm gonna get thru all these E/D/A points after all.
 
Joined
Mar 7, 2024
Messages
77
Location
Colorado
Looked around at the new predictive odds for Colorado. Really surprised me on the prediction for my go to deer unit, they’re touting 95% confidence levels which is a bold claim! Very interested to see the odds report for next year and look back at accuracy.
It's showing 100% for my target tag this year so we'll see! I'll definitely be comparing predicted vs actual when the #s come out to see how accurate they are. Haha
 
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