Long range weather forcasts

[Marley33]

What's your go to weather sites for long range forcasts? I know we all sit at home waiting for D-day of the big hunt and are anxiously checking weather and making last minute gear changes. What's your go to weather app?

 

[wytx]

This guy is good for our weather: https://dayweatherpodcast.com/

 

[Johnny Tyndall]

I go straight to NOAA and read the forecast discussion (you have to dig around for it). The forecasters are pretty good about describing what to expect and how certain they are about it.

That said, beyond some number of days (7?) weather prediction breaks down. Instead you're looking at statistical distributions rather than a projection from current conditions. Different kind of problem. NOAA has a climate prediction center if you want to guess at more than 7 days.

 

[timmymac24]

weather underground

 

[Antares]

Everyone I know in AK uses Windy.

https://www.windy.com/

 

[9.3koolaid]

spotwx.com

 

[taskswap]

What's your go to weather sites for long range forcasts? I know we all sit at home waiting for D-day of the big hunt and are anxiously checking weather and making last minute gear changes. What's your go to weather app?

I live in Colorado. I don't trust the weather forecast for TOMORROW. They were saying it would be mid to high 60s this week and overnight lows in the 40s. Today when I woke up it was 31 out and the high was 59. It was also supposed to be mostly sunny all week, but we had about 10 minutes of hail so...

 

[GSPHUNTER]

I find any forecaster any further out than four days is not very reliable. After planning trips in advance based on ten day forecast I had to cancel because there were drastic differences in actual condition when it came time to go.

 

[5MilesBack]

I use my past experience as the forecaster. I prepare for everything and just go. Several years ago during first rifle I checked the local forecast for my hunting area the day before the season started. It said "clear and sunny for the next 5 days". The next morning I'm up on this ridge and I saw this totally black system on the horizon heading my way. It started snowing so I hunkered down not expecting much because of the forecast. When 8" had piled up in very short order and visibility was still very low, I made a run for the truck. By the time I got to camp there was a foot of snow already. I never trust the forecasts for the mountains.

 

[Legend]

spotwx.com

That is a pretty interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Now I need to learn pros and cons of the different models.

 

[TaperPin]

Forecasts mean very little, except for major weather events like cold fronts bringing big changes. I like NOAA with national maps showing fronts and precip - looking at daily forecasts doesn’t train your brain like watching fronts move across the west. I’ve called in with a family emergency when a narrow band of snow following a front passes through - ideal hunting conditions to get up high before the snow. Lol

 

[Yoder]

I've found they can barely get the weather correct tomorrow let alone next week.

 

[9.3koolaid]

That is a pretty interesting site. Thanks for sharing. Now I need to learn pros and cons of the different models.

I've found the Canadian models to be more accurate in AK.

 

[Jason Snyder]

I use NOAA and Weatherology. They are usually pretty accurate, although anyone thinking a forecast more than four days out should be spot on is on Mars.

 

[EastHumboldt]

Weather underground. That being said, fall and spring weather in the mountains, can be kind of hard to predict.. I always go prepared to get snowed out.

 

[Tobe_B]

Good luck. I put up hay and raise cattle for a living. My entire life depends on what the weather is going to be like, not only this week, but next year and the year after.

I check all my weather forecasts and different stations to put my mower in the dirt on a 0% chance of rain. I’ll pick it up 8 hours later with an 80% chance for the next 4 to 5 days.

You need to come prepared for any and all weather scenarios. Pack appropriate gear, clothes, and necessities for 80° to 3 feet of snow. The weather in the mountains doesn’t care about the forecast or what you brought. So come prepared.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[IDLassie]

Sunday morning on the Farm shows. Greg Soule~ is one of the better ones. He seems to be closer to the timing of future storms.
If you dig deep and hard on NOAA sites you can find something but trying to understand it half the time is something else.