I have a mule deer tag for second season in CO.  Pretty good odds of finding a buck based on historical statistics, previous scouting and history with the units I'm in, and the fact that I'm young-ish and in good shape for this trip.  I haven't considered buying a bull elk tag up until lately - the odds of killing a bull in the same general region are about 10% according to CPW.  My plan is to pack in about 5-6 miles from the nearest trailhead and hunt from a basecamp there, and have a few other backup spots if plan A sucks.  I am not very enthusiastic about paying another $600+ for the tag but I would kick myself if I had a chance encounter and unable to pull the trigger.
Surely odds are skewed - I would imagine X% of hunters buy tags and never even make it out, X% buy tags to hunt within a mile from the road due to health, X% only hunt the weekends, etc. I don't even know how the DNR determines the number of hunters in a designated in each unit given OTC tags don't require you to name what unit you're hunting (unless they use a small sample and extrapolate the results). But for those that have had success in general, are these odds (specifically during 2nd rifle) a decent measure of your odds of success?
I'm trying not to encourage e-scouters anymore than this post already will, so feel free to PM me your thoughts. I'm really just trying to be objective about whether buying the tag is an economic enterprise since I already have an easier target to chase. I'll be there a week, hunting 6 days. As my best friend said, it's just money
 Surely odds are skewed - I would imagine X% of hunters buy tags and never even make it out, X% buy tags to hunt within a mile from the road due to health, X% only hunt the weekends, etc. I don't even know how the DNR determines the number of hunters in a designated in each unit given OTC tags don't require you to name what unit you're hunting (unless they use a small sample and extrapolate the results). But for those that have had success in general, are these odds (specifically during 2nd rifle) a decent measure of your odds of success?
I'm trying not to encourage e-scouters anymore than this post already will, so feel free to PM me your thoughts. I'm really just trying to be objective about whether buying the tag is an economic enterprise since I already have an easier target to chase. I'll be there a week, hunting 6 days. As my best friend said, it's just money
			
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