CWD: Interesting article from WY

[Predator_SD]

Huh?? I'm not arguing anything. Someone posted there are twice as many hunters and I was just throwing out statistics.

I corrected my comment.

But i also think you have somehow stumbled across false data. Literally nothing points to Hunter numbers increasing they’ve been on the decline for decades.

 

[Predator_SD]

I think you might want to redo your math.

Redacted, i see that was directed at the other chap.

 

[Predator_SD]

That’s ironic. Whether you emotionally accept it or not, 10% and rising of WI has CWD. 17000 of 321000 is 18%. At that sample size accuracy will be +\- 1.27%. (Mental giants do math to know that). I’m logging off and hope next thread we can have productive conversations on WY mule deer

It’s 5%, you guys absolutely are atrocious at math good god. And ya tossed (mental giants do math to know that)

And ya expect someone to listen about CWD when simple math is lost on yall.

Come on man!

 

[muleyapprentice]

It’s 5%, you guys absolutely are atrocious at math good god. And ya tossed (mental giants do math to know that)

And ya expect someone to listen about CWD when simple math is lost on yall.

Come on man!

Embarrassing, you are correct. Regardless the margin of error is so small that it does accurately represent the population

 

[NRA4LIFE]

I corrected my comment.

But i also think you have somehow stumbled across false data. Literally nothing points to Hunter numbers increasing they’ve been on the decline for decades.

From the DNR. Numbers compared were from total licenses sold in 2023 to 1999 numbers.

 

[CMF]

I see some of @Predator_SD points. Lot's of speculation. They talk about increased mortality, but I don't see where they've proven it's CWD causing the mortality. "It’s still early in the study, which launched in early 2023 with 40 GPS-collared deer. Russell doesn’t even know which of the animals have or had CWD"

It is odd they want to keep density low even when their own data shows it's not helping.

Even while deer numbers have tumbled, the lethal prion disease hasn’t let up, Game and Fish data shows. That suggests that animals are getting it directly from the environment — not each other.

Nevertheless, Gregory doesn’t want deer numbers to increase because of its potential to further exacerbate transmission.

 

[robby denning]

You guys have been dealing with it for a long time. One has to wonder about mule deer being able to rebound like whitetails. Listening to one of Robby's podcasts with a biologist (I think from Wyoming) Muleys can rebound at a 27 percent rate if conditions are ideal. Whitetail are closer to 67 percent. It takes a long time for a muley herd to repopulate.
I am in the cure is possibly worse than the disease camp and do not agree with Idaho's approach at all. I know this is a Wyoming article.

it was the episode with Darby Finley of Colorado, late spring 2024 if I remember.

He's in the heart of CWD.

I still wonder though if we're doing this right....

 

[jmez]

That’s ironic. Whether you emotionally accept it or not, 10% and rising of WI has CWD. 17000 of 321000 is 18%. At that sample size accuracy will be +\- 1.27%. (Mental giants do math to know that). I’m logging off and hope next thread we can have productive conversations on WY mule deer

The 17,000 is irrelevant. It is not randomized. It is confounded data and means nothing. If you want to continue with conjecture you would say the % in the tested deer is much much higher than the wild population. I mean it's only logical that more people would voluntarily submit deer to be tested that they suspected had the disease.

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[Predator_SD]

From the DNR. Numbers compared were from total licenses sold in 2023 to 1999 numbers.

From 1999 to 2023 they are down, way down.

 

[Predator_SD]

I see some of @Predator_SD points. Lot's of speculation. They talk about increased mortality, but I don't see where they've proven it's CWD causing the mortality. "It’s still early in the study, which launched in early 2023 with 40 GPS-collared deer. Russell doesn’t even know which of the animals have or had CWD"

It is odd they want to keep density low even when their own data shows it's not helping.

Even while deer numbers have tumbled, the lethal prion disease hasn’t let up, Game and Fish data shows. That suggests that animals are getting it directly from the environment — not each other.

Nevertheless, Gregory doesn’t want deer numbers to increase because of its potential to further exacerbate transmission.

Yes, it’s my point in a nutshell.

Every thing i’ve ever read going back quite a long time, at least a decade, there is a ton of that kind of speculative type language. But not a lot of proven irrefutable facts.

 

[jmez]

The original article is terrible. The study they highlight, in their words, is in the early stages and not completed. Yet we are using it to jump to conclusions. We don't even know how many of the collared deer have CWD, yet the collard deer are dying at an alarming rate from CWD????

The stated intent of the study is to map migration patterns of CWD affected deer. But we're using it to explain herd decline, hunter satisfaction, and management practices.

Another gem: Because there were no estimates of the Project Herd’s size while CWD ramped up through the 2010s, biologists and others are left to imprecise anecdotes to gauge its population effects. But by all accounts, the disease has walloped mule deer numbers, killing animals at a faster rate than they’re reproducing.

Sure wish I had 2 brain cells to rub together to make some sense of all that good data.

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[wapitibob]

Guaranteed the decline would be from CWD, if we actually had it here.

 

[Speaks]

The 17,000 is irrelevant. It is not randomized. It is confounded data and means nothing. If you want to continue with conjecture you would say the % in the tested deer is much much higher than the wild population. I mean it's only logical that more people would voluntarily submit deer to be tested that they suspected had the disease.

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They specifically only encourage testing in areas of high prevalence. Its far from a representative sample.

Talking about the “WI herd” is kind of silly, like what its like near the IA border has anything to do with the far northern counties.

 

[IdahoBeav]

Guaranteed the decline would be from CWD, if we actually had it here.

It'll be there soon.