GunsAreFun
WKR
- Joined
- Apr 18, 2019
- Messages
- 1,785
I was reviewing the 2019 draw stats for Archery, Muzzleloader, and 1st Rifle units that have 30% or great odds of non-residents drawing with no points. I then looked at the units 2018 harvest stats (all they have right now so data is from different years).
It APPEARS that there are some decent “values” out there, especially for first rifle season. I still need to go back and add another year or two of data to see if the trends hold, but let’s assume that at least a few of them hold up.
I’m weary of things that appear too good to be true. Do these high odd drawings with good results actually exists or is there something else going on in the data that I’m missing? What else can I look at to see if it is too good to be true? One thing I plan to check is percentage of public land. I’m not sure there is data that indicates outfitter hunts, but that would be good to know.
Maybe people just don’t want to pay $150 for a turkey license (so annoying) to put in for a non-guaranteed 5 day rifle hunt?
It APPEARS that there are some decent “values” out there, especially for first rifle season. I still need to go back and add another year or two of data to see if the trends hold, but let’s assume that at least a few of them hold up.
I’m weary of things that appear too good to be true. Do these high odd drawings with good results actually exists or is there something else going on in the data that I’m missing? What else can I look at to see if it is too good to be true? One thing I plan to check is percentage of public land. I’m not sure there is data that indicates outfitter hunts, but that would be good to know.
Maybe people just don’t want to pay $150 for a turkey license (so annoying) to put in for a non-guaranteed 5 day rifle hunt?