KyElkHunter14
FNG
- Joined
- May 28, 2026
- Messages
- 3
Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
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Are there stats up somewhere that have tag allocation numbers per unit yet?
Ah I loved the backdoor, too bad they shut it! Just like my old ladyWhy dont you just use the back door method to check your results?![]()
Based on last years odds, for my point level, I had a 5% chance of drawing my muzzleloader elk tag and a 0% chance with predictive odds. I applied anyways and drew the tag this year. I’ve also had tags with 100% predictive odds that I didn’t draw. The odds are speculative and it’s all a gamble. Predictive odds is just a fancy way to say that they guessed.Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
Yes/no. @cnelk posted population estimates and tag allocations back in April. It won't show each tag but a general overview.Are there stats up somewhere that have tag allocation numbers per unit yet?
Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
I wonder if these websites push certain units and certainly social media has a huge impact on year to year applications.Last year I was 1 of the 2 people that didn't draw out of the 4 that applied with my number of points. 1pt above me was 100%. They raised tag allocation this year and I still didn't draw.
according to GoHunt and Onx research tools, the unit i applied in with 4 pts was 100% draw odds (on both platforms). I did not draw a tag. Understand it's still a lottery and a gamble but was pretty surprised to see the unsuccessful email.Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
I am not sure. But they more than likely do. I have always just looked at the recaps and figured my own predictive odds. I was off this year for sure. I was pretty sure that I would draw 4th season deer. So sure that I only bought an elk PP instead of the 1st rifle tag that I wanted and have plenty of points for (maybe).I wonder if these websites push certain units and certainly social media has a huge impact on year to year applications.