Colorado Draw Results 2026!

Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
 
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Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
Based on last years odds, for my point level, I had a 5% chance of drawing my muzzleloader elk tag and a 0% chance with predictive odds. I applied anyways and drew the tag this year. I’ve also had tags with 100% predictive odds that I didn’t draw. The odds are speculative and it’s all a gamble. Predictive odds is just a fancy way to say that they guessed.
 
Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.

Predictive draw odds DO NOT account for tag allocation changes year over year accurately at all. They only work in stable units.

How do you predict when CPW cuts a unit tag allocation by 50% after the draw deadline.
 
Last year I was 1 of the 2 people that didn't draw out of the 4 that applied with my number of points. 1pt above me was 100%. They raised tag allocation this year and I still didn't draw.
 
Last year I was 1 of the 2 people that didn't draw out of the 4 that applied with my number of points. 1pt above me was 100%. They raised tag allocation this year and I still didn't draw.
I wonder if these websites push certain units and certainly social media has a huge impact on year to year applications.
 
Anyone else get disappointed by GoHunts predictive draw odds? Maybe they were accurate and I was one of the unlucky but was pretty sure I would draw with over a 90 percent chance.
according to GoHunt and Onx research tools, the unit i applied in with 4 pts was 100% draw odds (on both platforms). I did not draw a tag. Understand it's still a lottery and a gamble but was pretty surprised to see the unsuccessful email.
 
I wonder if these websites push certain units and certainly social media has a huge impact on year to year applications.
I am not sure. But they more than likely do. I have always just looked at the recaps and figured my own predictive odds. I was off this year for sure. I was pretty sure that I would draw 4th season deer. So sure that I only bought an elk PP instead of the 1st rifle tag that I wanted and have plenty of points for (maybe).

Now down to waiting on pronghorn to come out. First time applying for it. Have 4pts and applied for 1pt tag (last year).
 
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