The Rokslide Stock Traders Thread

[eddielasvegas]

SMR is way off its 52 week high (even if that was hype driven) and certainly worth a gamble for a potential 10 or 20 bagger. I'm in once my cash is available.


Eddie

 

[LFC911]

Bought $1 of SMR at $17/sh...wth

 

[Pharmseller]

Another effed-up day.

 

[Beendare]

SMR is way off its 52 week high (even if that was hype driven) and certainly worth a gamble for a potential 10 or 20 bagger. I'm in once my cash is available.

Buying "Just because it's down" is a terrible strategy. Who's to say it's not going to go back under $5 like it was a little over a year ago. You might get lucky...and it sure looks like a lot of what we see in this thread is just that. Which of the 200 Small nuke related companies are going to win that horse race? Thats what we are talking here.

Now if you like to gamble...fine, but don't call that "Investing."

The stock will either go up or down....depending on its future prospects. In this case we have a crowded field with these SMR's and none of these companies have positive earnings...some don't even have a thoroughly tested product. Bottom line, lots of risk there.

Compare that to a company like META that is down. They coin money- huge profit margins, over 3 billion locked in customers. Their stock is down due to the perception they are wasting their massive profit on AI a much better risk that they will get it right.

 

[Crowmangler]

Buying "Just because it's down" is a terrible strategy. Who's to say it's not going to go back under $5 like it was a little over a year ago. You might get lucky...and it sure looks like a lot of what we see in this thread is just that. Which of the 200 Small nuke related companies are going to win that horse race? Thats what we are talking here.

Now if you like to gamble...fine, but don't call that "Investing."

This is wise advice. Also when buying these types of stocks be sure to put a stop loss on them. You can move it up as it goes up but limit your losses to whatever you're comfortable with instead of losing 80%+

 

[MThoundhunter]

He has a long time to recover. Maybe throw a grand at each and sell when it’s up 20%. It’s in a Roth IRA so tax implications are negligible.

Edit to add, SMR 52-week high is $57.42 and it’s trading at $17.12.

OKLO 52-week high is $192.84, it closed today at $83.51.

For SMR I came up with a fair value estimate at $12, it's my pick for nuclear power but I don't own it yet personally. And I wouldn't be surprised to see it fall below $12 in the future.

UURAF and SLDP are a couple more suggestions I'd throw out there for higher risk positions. I'm heavily invested into both of them.

 

[Beendare]

The market is sending us a message right now- Valuation matters. The companies with very high valuation or...no earnings...or No product...will continue to get hammered.

SMR could end up being the big winner- I don't know. I do know when researching it there are a couple dozen competing technologies and only a couple have a product in review and testing. the horses haven't even gotten in the gate- tough to pick a winner. Re SMR; they are so early in development phase how do you place a value? I look at cash on hand- will $690 million be enough to finish development and build manufacturing line? Again, I dunno. But if not then they are going to have to raise money= diluting the stock even more= stock drop.

My buddies FIL is a retired nuclear engineer and I asked him who will be the clear winner- he laughed and said I dunno. He did say the problem with these small modular reactors is they don't put out enough Kw to make a dent. The theory is to group them together- again, is that workable? It's above my pay grade to pick a winner in this nuclear space.
I put SLDP on my watchlist

If I had short term losses in any of these I would sell to capture the tax break...then buy it back next year after 30 days if you really want to be in them.

 

[2531usmc]

This is wise advice. Also when buying these types of stocks be sure to put a stop loss on them. You can move it up as it goes up but limit your losses to whatever you're comfortable with instead of losing 80%+

And always remember, when you make an investment, stocks, bonds, BTC, commodities, etc, you are on the same playing field as the big investment banks and hedge funds. They have, literally, the smartest people on the planet, supercomputer systems, and AI driven algorithms.

They also have subject matter experts speaking to the engineers and finance people in all of those companies.

They are allocating funds to individual companies based on a very high correlation of success in the marketplace and this is what drives the individual stock prices.

Individual investors basing stock purchases on “I think” or “ the stock price is going up (down) so I should buy more” are playing in a game they can only lose. The deck is too stacked against them.

That’s why investors that just buy and hold the S&P come out ahead in the long run

 

[aftriathlete]

And always remember, when you make an investment, stocks, bonds, BTC, commodities, etc, you are on the same playing field as the big investment banks and hedge funds. They have, literally, the smartest people on the planet, supercomputer systems, and AI driven algorithms.

They also have subject matter experts speaking to the engineers and finance people in all of those companies.

They are allocating funds to individual companies based on a very high correlation of success in the marketplace and this is what drives the individual stock prices.

Individual investors basing stock purchases on “I think” or “ the stock price is going up (down) so I should buy more” are playing in a game they can only lose. The deck is too stacked against them.

That’s why investors that just buy and hold the S&P come out ahead in the long run

Exactly. I saw an article today about why the market was down yesterday and it attributed one of the reasons to the "market movers." So yeah the fat cats that are making their money off the average retail investors backs. You aren't smarter than them, you don't have the resources they do, don't try to be clever. I've done way too much trying to be clever in my investing life.

 

[2531usmc]

Exactly. I saw an article today about why the market was down yesterday and it attributed one of the reasons to the "market movers." So yeah the fat cats that are making their money off the average retail investors backs. You aren't smarter than them, you don't have the resources they do, don't try to be clever. I've done way too much trying to be clever in my investing life.

Yeah, the financial blogs were saying two, three weeks ago that institutional money was rotating out of tech and individual investors were buying the small dips.

Look at the market over the last week or so. The result was the institutional investors took profits and the little guys lost money. It’s a process that continuously repeats.

I don’t blame the banks and the hedge funds. They are just doing their job

But to think you’re going to play their game with their rules and walk away with ten or twenty baggers is foolishness

 

[eddielasvegas]

Buying "Just because it's down" is a terrible strategy. Who's to say it's not going to go back under $5 like it was a little over a year ago. You might get lucky...and it sure looks like a lot of what we see in this thread is just that. Which of the 200 Small nuke related companies are going to win that horse race? Thats what we are talking here.

Now if you like to gamble...fine, but don't call that "Investing."

The stock will either go up or down....depending on its future prospects. In this case we have a crowded field with these SMR's and none of these companies have positive earnings...some don't even have a thoroughly tested product. Bottom line, lots of risk there.

Compare that to a company like META that is down. They coin money- huge profit margins, over 3 billion locked in customers. Their stock is down due to the perception they are wasting their massive profit on AI a much better risk that they will get it right.

I do not see "investing" in my post, but I do see "gamble" so take that for what it's worth.

And regarding META, I don't put the companies I "invest" in under the microscope, but when my general knowledge causing me to dislike a company, which often means it's founder too, I will not "invest" my money in it no matter the returns. I feel this way about META. To each his own.


Eddie

 

[SWFLhntr]

I'm just here to take my now weekly MSTY beating. $58 dividend this week lol.

 

[Pharmseller]

My portfolio is like dating a manic-depressive. When she’s cycling up it’s awesome. But you can count on a down.

 

[Pharmseller]

I just bought 42 shares of SMR with some leftover cash in my IRA. I’m up 78 cents!

 

[Pharmseller]

Oops, down 45 cents.

 

[Beendare]

My portfolio is like dating a manic-depressive. When she’s cycling up it’s awesome. But you can count on a down.

Yeah, my portfolio is pretty volatile. I mitigate the risk by holding longer term which evens out the dips, I check in with these tech stocks regularly to see if their business has changed and I place stops on the high beta stocks....but not always as they whipsaw.

My recent purchase of MU is a good example; Micron sells into the Data center market- data is doubling every 6 months according to GOOG so they have to have these chips at least until something better comes along.

In the last couple weeks stock was up a few %...then it tanked about 5 or 6%- a pretty wild ride in the last month. It's up 12% today on a blowout earnings report- which is some folks yearly return. Up almost 10% for the month.

MU is up 199% this year compared to 15% for S&P. Thats some serious outperformance. Anyone that had a few of these stocks- GOOG, TSM, etc in their portfolio is blowing the doors off the S&P returns....and knock on wood thats been the case for me for a couple decades [not all but most years]
S&P is a good solid index- a no brainer because the powers that be adjust the companies in the index for good returns ...my strategy is more volatile...but better returns.

I bought MU because they have a product that is needed to contain all of this data, they are at a very conservative valuation compared to their metrics...and they have a 28% profit margin which means they can grow their way out of any dips and into a higher stock price over the longer haul. It's the perfect candidate for my strategy and I had missed it until recently.

 

[MountainTracker]

Tesla is turning out to be the best for me this year, I don’t anticipate that changing next year, but who knows.


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