I think a big elephant in the room is California and the cost of living/its impact on the rest of the country. Increasingly, especially as hunting opportunities continue to go away inside California, California hunters are leaving the state to hunt...elk, deer, etc. In a state where a crappy condo sandwiched in between a liquor store and a freeway onramp costs $700k...tag prices jumping a couple hundred bucks to people that are living in a state that is expensive already is going to not cause as much feather ruffling as other states, especially when this is perceived as a "vacation." I remember hearing a podcast somewhere with one of the GoHunt guys and he was saying that something like 40% of their entire subscription base was from California. In a population of close to 35 million, there are a lot of hunters (even if it doesnt seem like it) who can easily leave California and be in a "Western" state in a few hours.
California money is continuing to be a bigger presence on out of state hunts period. In a state where gas is $4.50 a gallon and prices are crazy high for everything, paying $1200 for a Wyoming sp. draw doesnt seem like a big deal when you realize that your gas, lodging etc will be way cheaper than your home state. I am not saying this is my perspective, but I know a lot of people that talk this way about out of state hunting. It is like a lot of the beach communities near where I live...the demand is so high for the property that people can no longer afford rent, and instead of a house going empty, there are 75 people who make good money waiting in line to rent the house for the new price. I think the same thing is happening with elk hunting across western states. As prices go up, people will certainly be waiting in line to pay them...look at all the western states...prices go up yet it has never been harder to get an elk tag across the board. I just dont see this changing anytime soon.
As prices go up, people will just be priced out of the market by those who can pay more. It is a super unfortunate reality about the differing financial situations across the country as well as the basic laws of supply and demand. While hunter recruitment is very important, this is one of the downsides. People like Joe Rogan, who do an incredible amount for hunting and conservation, have also inspired people on the higher end of the economic spectrum to pick up a bow and go for it. Same with a lot of the content on youtube. Im not bagging on it, I just feel like it has an overall impact on tags and who is able to afford them. I have no solution, I just know that elk hunting across the west is very different than it was 10 years ago and I think is going to be even more different 10 years from now. I dont know how to keep it affordable for everyone when there is a limited supply and a high demand. Even in an economic downturn, people who make a lot will still be able to afford the tags, whereas people busting their asses in the middle/bottom will have to be more selective on when/where they can hunt.