FlareBlitz91
Lil-Rokslider
Pescetism is right, I shouldn't derail the discussion, so this will be my last comment on wolves in Idaho.Probably because Idaho has not had a success elk population in wolf predation zones and despite the bounty on the wolves they're still not shrinking in population.
The report for the current management plan lays out quantitative data on wolf population, range, predation on ungulates, and livestock conflict, that report builds a beautiful narrative through data on what an objective reader would read as a wildlife management success story. Population stable between 1100-1200 wolves for about 10 years, wolf harvest by hunters and trappers stable at between 300-400 wolves per year, yes there are wilderness areas where elk remain below objective, IDFG cites data on the fact that while 70% of a wolf's diet is elk, only about 6% of calf elk are lost to predation and 3.5% of adult cow elk to wolves. Additional limiting factors are the usual suspects, habitat(!!!), winter severity, and human harvest. The commonly cited areas with low elk numbers that used to hold more elk have seen forest composition changes over the past several decades that has drastically lowered the carrying capacity in those zones. IDFG goes on to detail that they use wolf removal in those zones as a tool to alleviate pressure on the elk. Yes there is livestock predation, but those numbers have also remained stable over the years and there are tools there too for compensation as well as government programs to remove "problem" wolves.
WHen you have such stable numbers that you can practically set your watch to, in the world of wildlife biology, that is the type of success that we almost never see. It means we have an equilibrium and that the population is floating just under the carrying capacity.
The entirety of the report would suggest that IDFG should keep doing what they were doing in wolf management, not perfect across the board but about as close as anyone gets. Then all of a sudden they leap to this conclusion that the population should be cut in over half.
The 500 number they are citing isn't some biological truth, its a number that was suggested by USFWS in the mid 00's when there weren't that many, as we know the word of USFWS isn't the word of god, they are required by law to make decisions based off of the best data available to them at the time, which they did. However we now have 2 decades of data in Idaho that is showing that the state can handle the number it currently has.
I promise I'm bringing this back to ESA and state level management....IDFG made this decision not based off of science but based off of state agricultural and other interests in a way that is unsupported by the very data they cite and present.
If a federal agency did that they could be sued for being what the courts call "arbitrary and capricious," but when a state does it you have no recourse because they can manage wildlife however they see fit from one year to the next, which is what Bigsky is getting at. The states do not leave me with a warm and fuzzy feeling that they are going to do this properly.