SHOT show discussions with some ammo manufacturers pointed to the following issues:
a) powder is mostly already allocated for 2024. hodgdon (winchester, accurate, ramshot, hodgdon) is cutting off OEM manufacturers to sell direct to consumers and distributors for consumer market (they're making MSRP on their website so why not make more $$). Alliant powders are already non-existent and won't be making the trip over because it's all spoken for in europe. ADI powder swears they're always going to have powder for the locals, and i don't think the US is local. time to find some good vihtavuori loads before the Finns cut us off too.
b) world-wide shortage of 155mm rounds means a LOT of powder is never going to hit civilian market. 13lbs of propellant per round means 91,000 grains of powder. at 5 grains/round for 9mm, that's 364 BOXES of 50 that aren't getting made. PER 155mm ROUND. pentagon is hoping for 100,000 rounds per month?
c) primers are mostly already allocated for manufacturing. a lot of our vendors are very worried they're not going to have enough primers to manufacture their ammo. and these are manufacturers you've heard of, both in the US and overseas. the smaller boutique manufacturers are probably not going to be getting any allocation. and the consumer market is going to see even less.
who cares if europe is stocking up. time to stock up here. heck, it's time to start hitting up estate sales to liberate all the primers, powder and ammo that grandpa was hoarding back when obama was taking away our guns.