I have been apart of a lot of legit terminal ballistics testing both gel and live tissue, and that is not my experience, or the experience of those I am around at all. Point in fact, multiple joint US gov/DOD projects found that properly done gel testing to FBI spec is very predictive of bullet performance in live tissue.
Bare gel, or gel with heavy clothing has been a near 1 for 1 analogous for straight lung and soft tissue shots- usually the difference is a bit deeper penetration in the chest. The FBI plywood test shows what to expect when hitting larger bones, and the auto glass portion is an absolute worse case scenario.
Again- not my experience at all. That’s actually one of the things that is done- place two bullets in someone hand, one from gel and one from live tissue and ask them which is which.
Thats the reason for the barrier protocols that should be utilized.
Properly done, calibrated organic 10% gel testing is the best media for predicting bullet performance in tissue. That has been demonstrably proven repeatedly.
That is not why Hornday says to not use ELD-M’s. ELD-M performance is near identical to ELD-X, with slightly deeper penetration with the X’s in some scenarios (the 147gr 6.5 is an exception). Hornady knows exactly what ELD-M’s do in tissue, and they market it to non hunting use in live tissue.