Arizona CC hits coming Friday...

[Scoot]

The stress of waiting to find out I'm unsuccessful is almost unbearable

I don't have to wait... I already know I'm unsuccessful!

 

[Blackdirt Cowboy]

I don't have to wait... I already know I'm unsuccessful!

Yeah me too. I turned in my New Mexico app and didn’t think twice about it.

 

[AZ_Hunter_2000]

I don't have to wait... I already know I'm unsuccessful!

Anything can happen (to some extent). 5-6 years ago I drew the early season rifle tag for bull elk in unit 10 with 3 points.

 

[Blackcow]

^^^ Yep. If I was a non resident I’d be more excited that I might get a tag in the random draw than confident I was going to draw with “max points” since they changed it a few years back.

 

[Timberline001]

Anything can happen (to some extent). 5-6 years ago I drew the early season rifle tag for bull elk in unit 10 with 3 points.

Now way?! That’s insane. I guess there’s hope for drawing my first choice then. You should share some pictures if you killed a bull!

 

[Timberline001]

^^^ Yep. If I was a non resident I’d be more excited that I might get a tag in the random draw than confident I was going to draw with “max points” since they changed it a few years back.

According to gohunt I have 3% odds of drawing my first choice and 100% of my second as a non resident. We’ll see, you never know I’m sure with the rise in applicants this year I’m nowhere near guaranteed for second choice.

 

[Blackcow]

Even if the numbers stayed the same from last year, it’s only 100% if the bonus cap hasn’t been met. Since only 5% nr tags are eligible in the bonus pass, the other 5% go to the 1-2 random with lower point holders. Higher points give you a better chance at a lower assigned number, but then it’s possible for a 5 point holder to to get a lower number than say a 15pt. It happens. Before the change, some hunts were filled with max point holders in the nr 10% and never made it to bonus pass, with max point holders left over for next year. There was a possibility that if you just started, you’d buy your license, pay your app fees, and arguably never have a chance at drawing that tag in your lifetime.

 

[Timberline001]

Yeah I inde

Even if the numbers stayed the same from last year, it’s only 100% if the bonus cap hasn’t been met. Since only 5% nr tags are eligible in the bonus pass, the other 5% go to the 1-2 random with lower point holders. Higher points give you a better chance at a lower assigned number, but then it’s possible for a 5 point holder to to get a lower number than say a 15pt. It happens. Before the change, some hunts were filled with max point holders in the nr 10% and never made it to bonus pass, with max point holders left over for next year. There was a possibility that if you just started, you’d buy your license, pay your app fees, and arguably never have a chance at drawing that tag in your lifetime

Yeah I understand that. We’ve had “100% odds” for 2 years now but are still unsecessful each year while others I know draw our unit with 3-5 points so I’ve read up on the process well.

 

[Blackcow]

Hopefully this is your year then! I was at max for antelope as a resident for 3 years before I blew em on another unit, and 3 for an elk tag before I drew it. So I just don’t always put much faith in max points. Especially for antelope. All those years I waited, my best friend drew 1 rifle and 2 archery tags, random, for the same unit. Bad luck on my part

 

[Timberline001]

Hopefully this is your year then! I was at max for antelope as a resident for 3 years before I blew em on another unit, and 3 for an elk tag before I drew it. So I just don’t always put much faith in max points. Especially for antelope. All those years I waited, my best friend drew 1 rifle and 2 archery tags, random, for the same unit.

I hope it’s our year! I apply for the units my grandfather grew up hunting and I’d love to go while he can still hitch along. There isn’t a tag I’ve dreamed of more, all I can do is hope.

 

[AZELK&OPTICS]

Who thinks its gonna be in the morning? if it doesn't happen tomorrow morning I'm hoping and praying for Friday.

 

[Trott2478]

On the other Arizona thread someone commented that f&g told them it would not occur until next week. Don’t know if that is factual or not?

 

[gearguywb]

I feel like an ugly girl standing on the sidelines at the high school dance. Yep, I have a chance, but not much of one

 

[Southforkguy]

Anything can happen (to some extent). 5-6 years ago I drew the early season rifle tag for bull elk in unit 10 with 3 points.

Don't say that man! I put in for that tag with 5 points and a baby due in Sept

 

[wingmaster]

I don't have to wait... I already know I'm unsuccessful!

My sentiment exactly

 

[Mountian_ghost]

good luck

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

 

[RoJo]

Anything can happen (to some extent). 5-6 years ago I drew the early season rifle tag for bull elk in unit 10 with 3 points.

A friend and his son both drew early bull tags in unit 10 one year on separate apps. My friend had several points, but his son didn't. We called in this bull for the son:

My friend got a nice bull after I left.

 

[Dos Perros]

Can the OP please change the title of the thread to

Arizona CC hits coming NEVER...​

???

 

[Btaylor]

Can the OP please change the title of the thread to

Arizona CC hits coming NEVER...​

???

Maybe they are waiting until 4/1 for Arizona Fools Day

 

[Timberline001]

Maybe they are waiting until 4/1 for Arizona Fools Day

I think we’re all a couple weeks into Arizona fools day