The other perspective is that you can flip through the % hunted and % success on this tag through the years in a matter of minutes. Participation in this hunt has been over 50% one year since 2013 and that was 2020. Participation % is within a less than 10% range since 2013 and the % success of those that hunted is very consistent. It’s safe to assume that ADFG has the data and uses it to extrapolate the number of animals they want killed each year based off the tags awarded and probably hit it within single digits. All that to say, if everyone hunted the tag and maintained the average success rate, they would have to drop tags awarded by more than half.
It would be a fair observation that the less people that hunt a draw tag each year drops the average and results in more tags to be rewarded above the target each year. If this weren’t the case, the numbers wouldn’t be so statistically consistent; even though the number of tags awarded has varied dramatically. As far as I’m concerned, I hope no one hunts the tags I put in for. Leave an animal on the mountain and increase my odds for next year!