Fowl Play
WKR
- Joined
- Oct 1, 2016
- Messages
- 731
No problem, that’s my take from being in the industry, but UNH is far outside my wheelhouse, I know Buffet just loaded up on a ton of UNH so…@Fowl Play, thx for the insights. I've moved on from UNH too.
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No problem, that’s my take from being in the industry, but UNH is far outside my wheelhouse, I know Buffet just loaded up on a ton of UNH so…@Fowl Play, thx for the insights. I've moved on from UNH too.
I saw a rally good quote online about BA a couple years ago (no idea who originally said it) and I'm probably off with a couple words:Boeing is not going to come roaring back in my opinion, without a major overhaul of what the company has turned into. It used to be the pinnacle of American aerospace. Now it’s a literal dumpster fire hanging on by the threads of existing contracts (and a few new ones). They replaced engineering management with penny pinching MBA’s, removed critical quality control, etc. Their space capsule “Starliner” is a colossal failure. They essentially murdered hundreds of people with those 737 max failures a few years back. Everyone involved with that should have had criminal charges brought against them for engineering ethics violations. (You can look up the FAA report, they knew what was wrong after the first crash, but tried to keep it quiet because it was due to a software modification they hid from the FAA to prevent additional pilot training… meanwhile two more planes crashed.) They’ve had colossal quality control issues, grounding additional fleets of aircraft’s. Due to all this, they’ve lost too much market share to Airbus and will loose more. I would look elsewhere for investments, these are all systemic issues with the current company that will take decades to recover from (if they ever do).
Of course… markets are irrational, so who knows, but I would not consider it a quality company on a discount anymore.
There’s a bunch of truth to that. It’s pretty common knowledge that when they merged with McDonnell Douglas the bean counters from MD pretty much took over running the company from the Boeing engineers. Any aerospace company likely lives and dies with lobbying success or failure these days.I saw a rally good quote online about BA a couple years ago (no idea who originally said it) and I'm probably off with a couple words:
When they were based in Seattle, they were an engineering company who happpened to make planes.
When they were based in Chicago, they were a financial company who happened to make planes.
Now that they are based in DC, they are a lobbying company who happens to make planes.
Who knows how accurate it is, but a once highly respected company, revered worldwide, has had a fall from grace that follows the above timeline.
Eddie
Are you re thinking this after the Buffet news?@Fowl Play, thx for the insights. I've moved on from UNH too.
I never claimed to have perfect timing.....grinAre you re thinking this after the Buffet news?
You made me go look at my Brk.b. That is one of my, set it and forget it, stocks I own. It has a large chunk in it and I typically dont look at it much. I have owned it, just under 5 years and it has averaged 20ish % a year. Looks like lately it has dropped off quite a bit from the first 4 years. Which other stock are you looking at for: Set it and forget it? Safe investmentI never claimed to have perfect timing.....grin
I based my decision on costs for HC going into the stratosphere....it's going to be harder and harder for these companies to manage that. Obviously Buffet disagrees. He was rumored to be buying...and that accounts for the rise before the announcement was made.
In fact, Buffet has don't almost nothing with his $300B in cash. I sold my BRK-B, it's been dead money. Buffet is more worried about distributing his inheritance. I will rotate that $$ into ETF's or maybe a vacation house...but not doing anything until after hunting season.
My son continues to play the Reddit stuff with small change positions, His HGRAF is up 72% in the short time he owned it.
Boeing is going to have a hard time competing with cheaper Chinese planes once they get certified and that’s coming up quick.Boeing is not going to come roaring back in my opinion, without a major overhaul of what the company has turned into. It used to be the pinnacle of American aerospace. Now it’s a literal dumpster fire hanging on by the threads of existing contracts (and a few new ones). They replaced engineering management with penny pinching MBA’s, removed critical quality control, etc. Their space capsule “Starliner” is a colossal failure. They essentially murdered hundreds of people with those 737 max failures a few years back. Everyone involved with that should have had criminal charges brought against them for engineering ethics violations. (You can look up the FAA report, they knew what was wrong after the first crash, but tried to keep it quiet because it was due to a software modification they hid from the FAA to prevent additional pilot training… meanwhile two more planes crashed.) They’ve had colossal quality control issues, grounding additional fleets of aircraft’s. Due to all this, they’ve lost too much market share to Airbus and will loose more. I would look elsewhere for investments, these are all systemic issues with the current company that will take decades to recover from (if they ever do).
Of course… markets are irrational, so who knows, but I would not consider it a quality company on a discount anymore.
Foggy? That you?I never claimed to have perfect timing.....grin
I based my decision on costs for HC going into the stratosphere....it's going to be harder and harder for these companies to manage that. Obviously Buffet disagrees. He was rumored to be buying...and that accounts for the rise before the announcement was made.
In fact, Buffet has don't almost nothing with his $300B in cash. I sold my BRK-B, it's been dead money. Buffet is more worried about distributing his inheritance. I will rotate that $$ into ETF's or maybe a vacation house...but not doing anything until after hunting season.
My son continues to play the Reddit stuff with small change positions, His HGRAF is up 72% in the short time he owned it.
I worked in the Paper Industry. I worked for a paper company that tried to make money that was bought by another money-making company that tried to make paper. Fortunately, bad roll of paper will not kill people like a bad plane but same problem - leader who think they know how to make a product but have no skills in that specific industry.I saw a rally good quote online about BA a couple years ago (no idea who originally said it) and I'm probably off with a couple words:
When they were based in Seattle, they were an engineering company who happpened to make planes.
When they were based in Chicago, they were a financial company who happened to make planes.
Now that they are based in DC, they are a lobbying company who happens to make planes.
Who knows how accurate it is, but a once highly respected company, revered worldwide, has had a fall from grace that follows the above timeline.
Eddie
I didnt know Buffet loaded up on UNH. I put in my last $2,000 and bought UNH and am up 12% in 2 days. I think it might go back down , but in 5 yrs. I am sure I will be happy. The divies will pay me 3.6% and they raise them quite aggressively .No problem, that’s my take from being in the industry, but UNH is far outside my wheelhouse, I know Buffet just loaded up on a ton of UNH so…
Company insiders and members of Congress have also been buyingI didnt know Buffet loaded up on UNH. I put in my last $2,000 and bought UNH and am up 12% in 2 days. I think it might go back down , but in 5 yrs. I am sure I will be happy. The divies will pay me 3.6% and they raise them quite aggressively .
You should be fine in it…but I dont see them performing as good going forward and it bothered me he just sat on piles of cash, hundreds of billions. Everything I own outperformed Buffet lately.You made me go look at my Brk.b. That is one of my, set it and forget it, stocks I own. It has a large chunk in it and I typically dont look at it much. I have owned it, just under 5 years and it has averaged 20ish % a year. Looks like lately it has dropped off quite a bit from the first 4 years. Which other stock are you looking at for: Set it and forget it? Safe investment

ARCC and AMZN for meYou made me go look at my Brk.b. That is one of my, set it and forget it, stocks I own. It has a large chunk in it and I typically dont look at it much. I have owned it, just under 5 years and it has averaged 20ish % a year. Looks like lately it has dropped off quite a bit from the first 4 years. Which other stock are you looking at for: Set it and forget it? Safe investment
Thanks for the ARCC mention. Was not familair with it, but with a 8.5% DY, it's worth a look.ARCC and AMZN for me
I really like ARCC and MAIN. Both been awesome investmentsARCC and AMZN for me
I'm with you on MSTY. I think it is still leveling out of the hype phase. I've had good luck with UTLY and YMAX instead.I haven't done much money movement lately, the story of my life the last 5 years has been sitting on the sidelines waiting for a crash or at least a major pullback, and the only one that happened, albeit very quickly, was beginning of April when I was out in the NZ mountains totally unaware. I will say I'm quickly learning some lessons about MSTY. I added some to my Roth IRA several months back and I'm getting the feeling that it makes the most sense for people that want to use the monthly dividend as income due to the yield and the declining ticker price basically zeroing each other out. So it's not functionally showing up as any growth in my Roth IRA balance despite the flashy yield. I also can't really make sense of the share price/yield either, which is a little unnerving -- I've read on the Yieldmax website that MSTY is supposed to perform its best when the MSTR price is pretty stable or even slightly declining, but best I can tell the share price of MSTY on the day directly tracks the MSTR share price trend. So again, maybe you wind up with good yield due to MSTR decline (which is inside their black box and you're just hoping til they actually publish the monthly dividend), but at the same time the MSTY share price dropped by the same amount. So my summary feeling of MSTY so far is meh for my purposes as someone that wants long-term growth in their Roth and I'm not trying to live off the monthly dividends right now.