So a couple states I’m looking at for big game hunts have random draws as part of the deal (some states have no points at all, others like Wyoming have points but with 25% NR tags to random with no points advantage at all). I like this as a new late adult onset hunter (35 this Feb).
I have been pulling a lot of data from the state published draw odds from 2017 to 2019. I only check into a few units where it’s good driving distance from the house, good public access, reasonable success rate (doe cow bull etc not critical to me) and reasonable draw odds. Reasonable success rates and draw odds are a different number depending upon species. Here’s my question.
Am I imagining it or do many units experience a cyclic rate of draw odds? What I think happens is, let’s say Unit X in Wyoming has a 100% first choice draw in 2016. Seems like in 17 it has a 50%, then a 90% in 18, then a 40% in 19. Is this because people are using websites that provide draw odd data and after a high success year a lot of people apply and the next year is low success, so it keeps repeating a cycle, and have YOU ever been successful trying to take advantage of this timing?
I have been pulling a lot of data from the state published draw odds from 2017 to 2019. I only check into a few units where it’s good driving distance from the house, good public access, reasonable success rate (doe cow bull etc not critical to me) and reasonable draw odds. Reasonable success rates and draw odds are a different number depending upon species. Here’s my question.
Am I imagining it or do many units experience a cyclic rate of draw odds? What I think happens is, let’s say Unit X in Wyoming has a 100% first choice draw in 2016. Seems like in 17 it has a 50%, then a 90% in 18, then a 40% in 19. Is this because people are using websites that provide draw odd data and after a high success year a lot of people apply and the next year is low success, so it keeps repeating a cycle, and have YOU ever been successful trying to take advantage of this timing?
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