More hunters overall is better long term for Western hunting hands down.
Fewer hunters shrinking political clout, less license revenue for habitat conservation Pittman Robertson funds, and weaker push back against anti hunting policies, land grabs, or re introductions that kill opportunities wolves, R3 efforts recruit, retain reactivate are pushed hard by agencies because declining numbers threaten the whole system hunting funds most wildlife management in the West.
But yeah, we're feeling the squeeze: tags tougher harder to draw, more pressure crowding on public land especially OTC units, point creep insane, non res limits rising Montana cut NR deer tags in 2026, Oregon Colorado tweaks too. New hunters add to that short term especially influencer types burning spots, overcrowding, or poor ethics that sour public perception and make officials restrict more.
Sweet spot More thoughtful, ethical new hunters who get mentored, hunt responsibly, and vote pro hunting boosts our side without overwhelming herds units. Pure numbers without population habitat growth hurts quality. Less hunters might ease your tag odds now, but kills the future agencies chase revenue, anti groups win.