Iowa zone 5 draw odds for First Time Drawer??

My farm is in zone 5. We all draw muzzy tags every other year and alternate family members. So far it has been 100% by doing that.
 
If I understand correctly that you start with zero points on your first attempt, then it would appear that I would have a 0% chance to draw a zone 5 gun tag on the first try, but would be highly likely the next year with a preference point.
Yes. Last year no one got a tag on their 1st attempt in zone #5. It does not necessarily mean no one will this year but it doesn't look promising.
 
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