Drastic Draw Odds difference between OnX and GoHunt

[DKSOutdoorsman]

I’ve used OnX for mapping/gps for years and hadn’t touched GoHunt until today because this is my last year as a NV resident and I have 5 points for Elk so I’m using every resource available. That being said, I was expecting the two to be off a little bit but OnX is saying my draw odds are way higher than GoHunt is saying so I’m wondering if anybody else has run into that too. I double checked the points I entered and all that. For example, GoHunt says my draw odds for Unit 75 is 12%, but OnX says 33.53%. That’s over a 20% difference.

 

[wapitibob]

Completely dependent on how they run their projections, and they run them on last years data.

 

[LFC911]

Sample size is very small as well (i.e. 3 apps), which could play into it?!?

 

[DKSOutdoorsman]

I am willing to accept donations if you would like my sample size to be bigger