This is also unclear to me, and from the outside looking in-- objectively, seems way more complicated than it needs to be. Obviously there are many factors I am unaware of, but the system is overwhelming.
The Montana system is overly complicated. On top of that each state has its own system and quirks, which makes it tough to understand when you’re learning it. I still go back and check my understanding of certain rules each year.
It looks like you’re getting a late start this year planning it all out. There are a bunch of podcasts and articles that breakdown how each state works. I’d recommend reading those next January so you and your friend know all the nuances and have a game plan finalized before the draw even opens.